Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 29

Updated Jul. 29, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies will take on Bryan Reynolds and the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park in the second of a three-game series, Saturday at 7:05 PM ET. The Pirates are +153 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favored Phillies (-180). Philadelphia (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The matchup's total is set at 9 runs.

The Philadelphia Phillies will give the start to Aaron Nola (9-6, 4.25 ERA), who is looking for win No. 10 on the season, and the Pirates will counter with Quinn Priester (1-1, 9.28 ERA).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Phillies vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, July 29, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies	-180	+153	9	-114	-106	-1.5	-113	-107

Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Phillies 7, Pirates 6
Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Phillies 51%, Pirates 49%

Phillies vs. Pirates Betting Insights

The Phillies have been favorites in 67 games this season and won 40 (59.7%) of those contests.
Philadelphia has entered 19 games this season favored by -180 or more and is 12-7 in those contests.
The Phillies have a 64.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Pirates have been victorious in 33, or 40.2%, of the 82 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious eight times in 17 chances when named as an underdog of at least +153 or worse on the moneyline.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 39.5% chance of pulling out a win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

The Phillies have a 5-5 record from the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times.
The Phillies are 2-8-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.4
HR	7
ERA	3.13
K/9	8.8

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Phillies Player Insights

The Phillies best hitter so far this season is Bryson Stott, who's hitting at a team-leading .302 clip along with nine homers and 37 RBI.
Of all batters in the majors, Stott's home run total places him 155th, and his RBI tally puts him 136th.
Stott has collected a hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .235 with two doubles, four walks and an RBI.
Schwarber has shown off his power as he leads his team with 27 home runs and 64 runs batted in.
Schwarber ranks fifth in home runs in the majors, and 20th in RBI.
Alec Bohm is hitting .282 with 17 doubles, nine home runs and 24 walks.
Bohm is on a five-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .353 with a double, a walk and three RBI.
Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .278 with 26 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 25 walks.

Phillies Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Nicholas Castellanos	1.5 (+160)	1.5 (-115)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+150)
Trea Turner	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+130)
Alec Bohm	1.5 (+160)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+135)
Bryson Stott	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+950)	0.5 (+150)
Brandon Marsh	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+160)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

The Pirates have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
The Pirates are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	3.4
HR	14
ERA	5.59
K/9	8.7

Pirates Player Insights

Reynolds is hitting .256 with 21 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 32 walks.
Among all hitters in the big leagues, Reynolds' home run total ranks 119th and his RBI tally is 77th.
Andrew McCutchen is hitting .262 to lead the lineup.
McCutchen ranks 137th in homers and 208th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Jack Suwinski has been solid source of run production for the Pirates with 21 long balls and 52 runs batted in.
Connor Joe has 19 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 29 walks while batting .239.

Pirates Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Andrew McCutchen	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+205)
Bryan Reynolds	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+200)
Liover Peguero	0.5 (-125)	0.5 (-125)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+320)
Jack Suwinski	0.5 (-145)	0.5 (-145)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+205)
Ji-Man Choi	0.5 (-159)	0.5 (-159)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+200)

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