Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 30

Updated Jul. 30, 2023 1:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Bryson Stott and the Philadelphia Phillies take on Endy Rodriguez and the Pittsburgh Pirates on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET. The Pirates are listed as +125 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the Phillies (-146). Philadelphia is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 9 runs for the contest.

The Phillies will start Cristopher Sanchez (0-3) versus the Pirates and Rich Hill (7-10).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Phillies vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, July 30, 2023 at 1:35 PM ET
Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies	-146	+125	9	-105	-115	-1.5	+112	-133

Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Pirates 5
Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Phillies 51%, Pirates 49%

Phillies vs. Pirates Betting Insights

This season, the Phillies have been favored 68 times and won 40, or 58.8%, of those games.
Philadelphia has a record of 19-13, a 59.4% win rate, when favored by -146 or more by bookmakers this season.
The Phillies have a 59.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 83 games this year and have walked away with the win 34 times (41%) in those games.
This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 21 times in 48 chances when named as an underdog of at least +125 or longer on the moneyline.
The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 44.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

The Phillies were the moneyline favorite for each of their last 10 games, and they went 4-6 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to go over the run total four times.
The Phillies' ATS record is 2-8-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	3.6
HR	6
ERA	3.48
K/9	9

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Phillies Player Insights

Stott paces the Phillies with a team-high batting average of .306.
Stott's home runs place him 159th in MLB, and he is 139th in RBI.
Stott has collected a hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with three doubles and an RBI.
Kyle Schwarber has hit 27 home runs with 65 RBI. Both are team-highs.
Schwarber is fifth in homers and 18th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Alec Bohm is batting .279 with 17 doubles, nine home runs and 26 walks.
Nicholas Castellanos is batting .274 with 26 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 25 walks.

Phillies Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Edmundo Sosa	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+155)
Nicholas Castellanos	1.5 (+165)	1.5 (-115)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+155)
Josh Harrison	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+180)
Trea Turner	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+135)
Bryce Harper	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+190)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

The Pirates have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Pirates and their opponents are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Pirates have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.1
HR	15
ERA	5.07
K/9	9.5

Pirates Player Insights

Bryan Reynolds is batting .255 with 21 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 32 walks.
In all of MLB, Reynolds ranks 121st in home runs and 81st in RBI.
Reynolds brings a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .190 with a home run, a walk and an RBI.
Andrew McCutchen's .259 batting average paces his team.
McCutchen is 139th in home runs and 213th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
Jack Suwinski paces the Pirates in home runs (21) and runs batted in (52).
Connor Joe has 19 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 29 walks while hitting .239.

Pirates Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Bryan Reynolds	1.5 (+165)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+190)
Connor Joe	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+265)
Andrew McCutchen	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+155)
Ji-Man Choi	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+195)
Joshua Palacios	0.5 (-196)	0.5 (-196)	0.5 (+1100)	0.5 (+230)

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