Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27

Updated Sep. 27, 2023 6:00 p.m. ET

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Trea Turner and Bryan Reynolds will be among the star attractions when the Philadelphia Phillies play the Pittsburgh Pirates on Wednesday at 6:40 PM ET, at Citizens Bank Park. The Pirates are +111 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favorite Phillies (-131). Philadelphia is a 1.5-run favorite (at +158 odds). The over/under for the game is set at 8 runs.

The Philadelphia Phillies will hand the ball to Ranger Suarez (4-6, 3.89 ERA), who is looking for win No. 5 on the season, and the Pirates will turn to Johan Oviedo (9-14, 4.12 ERA).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Phillies vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH

Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Pirates 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 58%, Pirates 42%

Phillies vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• The Phillies have won 65, or 60.2%, of the 108 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Philadelphia is 47-26 this season when entering a game favored by -131 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 56.7%.
• The Pirates have been underdogs in 126 games this season and have come away with the win 55 times (43.7%) in those contests.
• Pittsburgh has a mark of 46-54 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +111 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 47.4% chance of pulling out a win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have a 6-1 record from the seven games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to go over the run total five times.
• The Phillies have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Turner has 33 doubles, five triples, 26 home runs and 45 walks while batting .263.
• Among all MLB hitters, Turner ranks 67th in batting average, 100th in on-base percentage, and 60th in slugging.
• Turner takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .111 with a double, three walks and an RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber has shown his power as he leads his team with 45 home runs.
• Among all MLB batters, Schwarber ranks second in homers and 13th in RBI.
• Alec Bohm has 31 doubles, 19 home runs and 42 walks while hitting .277.
• Bryson Stott has 31 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 38 walks while batting .281.
• Stott is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .211 with a double, two walks and two RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• In 10 games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Pirates had a record of 5-5.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
• The Pirates have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Reynolds has driven in the most runs for the Pirates with 83 runs batted in.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Reynolds' home run total is 51st and his RBI tally is 44th.
• Ke'Bryan Hayes' .273 batting average leads his team.
• Hayes is 141st in home runs and 118th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Jack Suwinski has 26 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
• Connor Joe has 28 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 47 walks while hitting .234.

Pirates Team Props

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MLB - Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 09/27/2023

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