Phillies vs. Rangers Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 21

Phillies vs. Rangers Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 21

Updated May. 21, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Bryson Stott and the Philadelphia Phillies will look to get to Jon Gray when he starts for the Texas Rangers on Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET, in the first game of a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies are the favorite in this one, at -161, while the underdog Rangers have +135 odds to win. Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +126 odds). The total for the matchup is set at 8.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Rangers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Rangers Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, May 21, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -161 +135 8.5 -117 -103 -1.5 +126 -150

Phillies vs. Rangers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 4, Rangers 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Phillies 59%, Rangers 41%

Phillies vs. Rangers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Phillies have been favored 39 times and won 28, or 71.8%, of those games.
  • Philadelphia has a record of 19-5, a 79.2% win rate, when favored by -161 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 61.7% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
  • The Rangers have been underdogs in 17 games this season and have come away with the win eight times (47.1%) in those contests.
  • Texas has been listed as an underdog of +135 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rangers have a 42.6% chance of pulling out a win.
FINAL
TEX 2 · PHI 5
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Texas Rangers
TEX
Philadelphia Phillies
PHI

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies have a 7-2 record across the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over seven times.
  • The Phillies' record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 6.5
HR 8
ERA 2.87
K/9 8.1

Phillies Player Insights

  • Alec Bohm comes into Tuesday's game as the Phillies top run producer, delivering 42 RBI while crushing five home runs in 2024. His .330 average is also best on the squad.
  • Among all batters in the majors, Bohm ranks 86th in home runs and second in RBI.
  • Bohm takes a hitting streak of six games into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .279 with five doubles, a home run, a walk and 10 RBI.
  • Bryson Stott has five doubles, two triples, five home runs and 25 walks while batting .279.
  • Including all major league hitters, Stott is 86th in homers and 26th in RBI.
  • Stott carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .267 with a home run, three walks and three RBI.
  • Bryce Harper leads the Phillies with 10 home runs.
  • Harper is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .364 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and six RBI.
  • Kyle Schwarber has three doubles, nine home runs and 34 walks while hitting .214.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Kody Clemens 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+350) 0.5 (+140)
Kyle Schwarber 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+215) 0.5 (+130)
Bryce Harper 0.5 (-286) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+265) 0.5 (+125)
Nicholas Castellanos 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+145)
Alec Bohm 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+130)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Rangers matchup on Fox Sports.

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

  • Over the past 10 games, the Rangers have been underdogs just once and lost that contest.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Rangers and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
  • The Rangers have one win against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Rangers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.3
HR 11
ERA 5.04
K/9 8.4

Rangers Player Insights

  • Marcus Semien is hitting .270 with 11 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 15 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .318.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Semien is 22nd in homers and 13th in RBI.
  • Adolis Garcia has hit 11 home runs with 35 RBI, leading the team in both categories.
  • Garcia is currently seventh in homers and eighth in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Corey Seager is hitting .247 with three doubles, six home runs and 23 walks.
  • Jonah Heim has three doubles, five home runs and 10 walks while batting .266.

Rangers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Adolis García 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+290) 0.5 (+135)
Jonah Heim 1.5 (+205) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+145)
Ezequiel Duran 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+180)
Corey Seager 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+380) 0.5 (+150)
Marcus Semien 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+180)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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