Phillies vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 11

Updated Sep. 11, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

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Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies will meet Yandy Diaz and the Tampa Bay Rays on Wednesday at Citizens Bank Park, at 6:40 p.m. ET. The Rays are +190 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the Phillies (-232). Philadelphia is favored on the run line (-1.5). The game's over/under has been set at 7 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Benches clear between Phillies and Rays after Nick Castellanos is HBP

Benches clear between Philadelphia Phillies and Tampa Bays Rays after Nick Castellanos is hit by pitch

Phillies vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, September 11, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: BSSUN

Phillies vs. Rays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 4, Rays 3
• Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 58%, Rays 42%

Phillies vs. Rays Betting Insights

• The Phillies have been favorites in 115 games this season and won 72 (62.6%) of those contests.
• Philadelphia has a record of 15-5 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -232 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 69.9% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• The Rays have come away with 34 wins in the 76 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Tampa Bay has played as an underdog of +190 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 34.5% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

TB 2 · PHI 3

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Tampa Bay Rays

TB

+1.5

+190

O 7

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-233

U 7

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies went 7-2 across the nine games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times.
• The Phillies' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with 35 home runs and 95 runs batted in.
• Schwarber ranks seventh in home runs and 12th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Schwarber has collected a hit in nine straight games. During his last 10 games he is hitting .385 with three doubles, seven home runs, five walks and 13 RBI.
• Harper has 39 doubles, 26 home runs and 68 walks while batting .291.
• Among all major league hitters, Harper ranks 23rd in home runs and 34th in RBI.
• Harper has five straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .524 with five doubles, a walk and three RBI.
• Trea Turner paces the Phillies with a .299 batting average.
• Turner is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .350 with a double, three home runs, a walk and seven RBI.
• Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .244 with 27 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 37 walks.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Rays matchup on Fox Sports.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Rays and their opponents are 4-4-2 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Rays have eight wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Diaz has posted a team-leading batting average of .280 while leading the Rays in runs batted in with a mark of 65.
• In all of the majors, Diaz is 124th in homers and 64th in RBI.
• Diaz takes a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .381 with a double, a home run, a walk and four RBI.
• Christopher Morel has shown off his power as he paces his team with 21 home runs.
• Among all MLB hitters, Morel ranks 49th in home runs and 99th in RBI.
• Brandon Lowe is batting .244 with 19 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 32 walks.
• Jose Caballero has 23 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 25 walks while batting .231.

Rays Team Props

Benches clear between Phillies and Rays after Nick Castellanos is HBP

Benches clear between Philadelphia Phillies and Tampa Bays Rays after Nick Castellanos is hit by pitch

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 09/11/2024

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