Phillies vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 9

Updated Sep. 9, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

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Cristopher Sanchez will start for the Philadelphia Phillies on Monday at Citizens Bank Park against Yandy Diaz and the Tampa Bay Rays. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET for the first game of a three-game series. The Phillies have been listed as -200 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Rays (+165). Philadelphia (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 8 runs for the matchup (with -102 odds to hit the over and -118 odds to go under).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Rays vs. Orioles Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Baltimore Orioles on Sunday, September 8.

Phillies vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, September 9, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH

Phillies vs. Rays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Rays 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 57%, Rays 43%

Phillies vs. Rays Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have been favored 113 times and won 70, or 61.9%, of those games.
• Philadelphia has a record of 24-10, a 70.6% win rate, when favored by -200 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 66.7%.
• The Rays have come away with 34 wins in the 74 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This year, Tampa Bay has won two of five games when listed as at least +165 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 37.7% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

TB 1 · PHI 2

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Tampa Bay Rays

TB

+1.5

+165

O 8

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-200

U 8

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies went 6-3 across the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Phillies have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber has gone yard 33 times in the 2024 campaign while driving in 93 runs, both totals that lead the Phillies.
• Including all MLB hitters, Schwarber ranks 76th in batting average, 12th in on-base percentage, and 21st in slugging.
• Schwarber brings a hitting streak of seven games into this game. During his last 10 games he is batting .333 with three doubles, five home runs, five walks and 11 RBI.
• Bryce Harper has 36 doubles, 26 home runs and 67 walks while hitting .285.
• Harper ranks 23rd in home runs and 33rd in RBI among all batters in baseball.
• Harper heads into this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .375 with two doubles, a walk and three RBI.
• Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .246 with 27 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 35 walks.
• Trea Turner is batting .296 to lead his team.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Rays matchup on Fox Sports.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Rays have a record of 3-4.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Rays and their opponents are 5-3-2 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Rays have a record of 8-2-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Diaz leads the Rays with 64 runs batted in while racking up a team-best batting average of .279.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Diaz's home run total is 123rd and his RBI tally is 66th.
• Christopher Morel has put his power on display as he paces his team with 21 home runs.
• Morel is 48th in home runs and 98th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Brandon Lowe is batting .242 with 19 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 32 walks.
• Jose Caballero is batting .229 with 23 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 23 walks.

Rays Team Props

Phillies vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins on Sunday, September 8.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 09/09/2024

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