Phillies vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 11

Updated Jun. 11, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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Kutter Crawford gets the nod on the mound for the Boston Red Sox in the first of a three-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies and Nicholas Castellanos on Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET. The favored Phillies have -156 moneyline odds against the underdog Red Sox, who are listed at +131. Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +101 odds). The game's over/under is listed at 8 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, June 11, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH

Phillies vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Red Sox 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 51%, Red Sox 49%

Phillies vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have won 39 out of the 55 games, or 70.9%, in which they've been favored.
• Philadelphia has a record of 29-8, a 78.4% win rate, when favored by -156 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.9% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• The Red Sox have won in 15, or 48.4%, of the 31 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This year, Boston has won two of eight games when listed as at least +131 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 43.3% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

PHI 4 · BOS 1

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-156

O 8

Boston Red Sox

BOS

+1.5

+131

U 8

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies went 7-3 over the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Phillies did not combine with their opponents to go over the total. All 10 had set totals.
• The Phillies have a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Alec Bohm paces the Phillies in runs batted in (51) and has put up a team-best batting average of .291.
• Including all MLB batters, Bohm ranks 18th in batting average, 33rd in on-base percentage, and 35th in slugging.
• Bohm brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .150 with a home run, two walks and two RBI.
• Bryce Harper has shown off his power as he leads his team with 15 home runs.
• Harper is ninth in home runs and 12th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Harper carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .375 with a double, a home run, six walks and an RBI.
• Bryson Stott is hitting .242 with six doubles, two triples, five home runs and 29 walks.
• Kyle Schwarber is batting .235 with four doubles, 11 home runs and 47 walks.
• Schwarber takes a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .200 with three walks and an RBI.

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Red Sox have been underdogs twice and split those games 1-1.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
• The Red Sox have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran is batting .263 with 17 doubles, 10 triples, five home runs and 26 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .332.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Duran is 148th in home runs and 93rd in RBI.
• Rafael Devers has showcased his ability as a power hitter this season, as he paces his team with 13 home runs with a club-high .284 batting average.
• Devers is 15th overall in home runs and 50th in RBI this year.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has a team-high 37 runs batted in.
• Connor Wong has six doubles, five home runs and 10 walks while batting .329.

MLB Power Rankings: New York Yankees & Philadelphia Phillies continue to stay hot

Ben Verlander brings you his updated MLB Power Rankings and the New York Yankees & Philadelphia Phillies headline this week's Power Rankings.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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