Phillies vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 4

Updated Aug. 4, 2023 7:05 p.m. ET

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Jordan Lyles starts for the Kansas City Royals against Alec Bohm and the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday at 7:05 PM ET. The Royals are +210 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favored Phillies (-257). Philadelphia (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 9.5 runs for the game (with -107 odds on the over and -113 odds on the under).

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Philadelphia Phillies looking to Aaron Nola (9-7), and Lyles (2-12) answering the bell for the Kansas City Royals.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Phillies vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, August 4, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Phillies vs. Royals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Royals 4
• Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 58%, Royals 42%

Phillies vs. Royals Betting Insights

• The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 71 times this season and won 41, or 57.7%, of those games.
• Philadelphia has a record of 3-1 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -257 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 72% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• The Royals have won in 31, or 32.6%, of the 95 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This year, Kansas City has won two of 11 games when listed as at least +210 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 32.3% chance of walking away with the win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have a 4-4 record over the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times.
• The Phillies have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

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Phillies Player Insights

• Bryson Stott is the Phillies best hitter thus far this season, hitting at a team-leading .301 rate along with nine homers and 39 RBI.
• Stott's home runs rank him 165th in the majors, and he is 135th in RBI.
• Alec Bohm has made the most of his opportunities as he paces his team with 69 runs batted in.
• Bohm is 149th in homers and 19th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit a team-best 27 home runs.
• Nicholas Castellanos is batting .274 with 26 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 26 walks.
• Castellanos takes a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .217 with a home run, a walk and three RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• The Royals have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won six of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
• The Royals have won seven of their last 10 games against the spread.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Bobby Witt Jr. paces the Royals with 19 home runs and 64 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .269.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Witt Jr.'s home run total ranks 31st and his RBI tally ranks 28th.
• Witt Jr. has collected a hit in six straight games. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .442 with three doubles, a triple, three home runs, two walks and 13 RBI.
• Salvador Perez is hitting .246 with 18 doubles, 17 home runs and 13 walks.
• Among all major league hitters, Perez is 47th in home runs and 102nd in RBI.
• Maikel Garcia is batting .284 with 15 doubles, two triples, four home runs and 22 walks.
• Edward Olivares has 15 doubles, four triples, six home runs and 15 walks while batting .248.

Royals Team Props

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Phillies vs Royals!

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