Phillies vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 6

Updated Aug. 6, 2023 1:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Taijuan Walker and Zack Greinke are the projected starters when the Philadelphia Phillies and Kansas City Royals square off on Sunday at Citizens Bank Park. Oddsmakers list the Phillies as -216 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Royals +178 moneyline odds. Philadelphia is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The matchup's over/under has been listed at 9.5 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Philadelphia Phillies looking to Walker (12-4), and Greinke (1-11) getting the nod for the Kansas City Royals.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Phillies vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, August 6, 2023 at 1:35 PM ET
Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies	-216	+178	9.5	-113	-107	-1.5	-108	-112

Phillies vs. Royals Prediction

Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Royals 3
Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Phillies 59%, Royals 41%

Phillies vs. Royals Betting Insights

The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 73 times this season and won 42, or 57.5%, of those games.
Philadelphia is 6-4 this season when entering a game favored by -216 or more on the moneyline.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 68.4% chance to win.
The Royals have been underdogs in 97 games this season and have come away with the win 32 times (33%) in those contests.
This year, Kansas City has won nine of 28 games when listed as at least +178 or worse on the moneyline.
The Royals have an implied victory probability of 36% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

The Phillies went 4-4 over the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times.
The Phillies have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.1
HR	10
ERA	3.76
K/9	8.3

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Phillies Player Insights

Alec Bohm has racked up a team-high 71 runs batted in.
Among all hitters in MLB, Bohm is 126th in home runs and 13th in RBI.
Bohm brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .409 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and five RBI.
Bryson Stott is batting .302 to lead his team.
Stott ranks 171st in homers and 133rd in RBI among all major league batters this season.
Stott heads into this matchup looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .300 with three doubles, two walks and two RBI.
Kyle Schwarber paces the Phillies with 27 home runs.
Nicholas Castellanos is batting .274 with 26 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 26 walks.
Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in six straight games. In his last 10 games he is batting .190 with two home runs, a walk and six RBI.

Phillies Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
J.T. Realmuto	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+320)	0.5 (+125)
Trea Turner	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (-120)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+125)
Edmundo Sosa	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+170)
Bryce Harper	1.5 (+145)	1.5 (-125)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+130)
Bryson Stott	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+170)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

In nine games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Royals had a record of 6-3.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents are 7-3-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Royals have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	5.7
HR	13
ERA	4.65
K/9	6.9

Royals Player Insights

Bobby Witt Jr. paces the Royals in home runs (20), runs batted in (67) and has posted a team-best batting average of .268.
Witt Jr.'s home run total puts him 30th in the majors, and he ranks 25th in RBI.
Salvador Perez is batting .244 with 18 doubles, 17 home runs and 15 walks.
Perez ranks 53rd among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 108th in RBI.
Maikel Garcia is batting .281 with 15 doubles, two triples, four home runs and 22 walks.
Edward Olivares has 17 doubles, four triples, six home runs and 15 walks while hitting .248.

Royals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Edward Olivares	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+225)
Bobby Witt Jr.	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+165)
Michael Massey	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+160)
Maikel Garcia	1.5 (+155)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+215)
MJ Melendez	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+140)

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