Phillies vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 11

Updated Aug. 11, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Philadelphia Phillies and Nicholas Castellanos head into the first of a three-game series against Max Kepler and the Minnesota Twins on Friday at Citizens Bank Park. The favored Phillies have -148 moneyline odds against the underdog Twins, who are listed at +125. Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total is 9 runs for this game.

The Phillies will give the ball to Cristopher Sanchez (0-3) against the Twins and Dallas Keuchel.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Twins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Phillies vs. Twins Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, August 11, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
How to Watch on TV: NBC 10

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies	-148	+125	9	-111	-109	-1.5	+133	-158

Phillies vs. Twins Prediction

Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Twins 5
Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Phillies 53%, Twins 47%

Phillies vs. Twins Betting Insights

This season, the Phillies have won 46 out of the 78 games, or 59%, in which they've been favored.
Philadelphia has a record of 23-16 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -148 on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 59.7%.
The Twins have come away with 14 wins in the 38 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This year, Minnesota has won five of 14 games when listed as at least +125 or worse on the moneyline.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 44.4% chance of pulling out a win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

The Phillies played as the moneyline favorite for nine of their last 10 games, and they went 6-3 in those matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to go over the run total five times.
The Phillies have put together a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	6.2
HR	21
ERA	3.62
K/9	7.5

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Phillies Player Insights

Bryson Stott's .300 average leads the Phillies this year. His resume also includes 10 homers and driven in 44 RBI.
Among all hitters in MLB, Stott's home run total ranks him 161st, and his RBI tally puts him 116th.
Alec Bohm has collected 73 runs batted in to lead his team.
Bohm is 122nd in homers and 14th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
Bohm carries a six-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .366 with four doubles, two home runs, four walks and eight RBI.
Kyle Schwarber has hit a team-high 30 home runs.
Castellanos has 26 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 26 walks while batting .276.
Castellanos takes an 11-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last 10 games he is hitting .302 with six home runs, a walk and 12 RBI.

Phillies Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
J.T. Realmuto	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+140)
Nicholas Castellanos	1.5 (+175)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+120)
Kyle Schwarber	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+295)	0.5 (+145)
Trea Turner	1.5 (+160)	1.5 (-125)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+125)
Edmundo Sosa	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+160)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Twins matchup on Fox Sports.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins have been underdogs once in the past 10 games and won that contest.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Twins and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Twins have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.5
HR	16
ERA	3.77
K/9	9.6

Twins Player Insights

Carlos Correa leads the Twins with 53 runs batted in while putting up a team-high batting average of .227.
Correa ranks 97th in homers and 75th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Correa carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is hitting .216 with a double, two home runs, two walks and eight RBI.
Kepler has hit a team-high 18 home runs.
Kepler ranks 43rd among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 116th in RBI.
Willi Castro has 15 doubles, three triples, five home runs and 24 walks while hitting .245.
Donovan Solano is hitting .278 with 21 doubles, four home runs and 34 walks.

Twins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Carlos Correa	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+150)
Jorge Polanco	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+165)
Max Kepler	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+185)
Willi Castro	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+240)
Ryan Jeffers	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+170)

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