Data Skrive
The Philadelphia Phillies and Nicholas Castellanos head into the first of a three-game series against Max Kepler and the Minnesota Twins on Friday at Citizens Bank Park. The favored Phillies have -148 moneyline odds against the underdog Twins, who are listed at +125. Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total is 9 runs for this game.
The Phillies will give the ball to Cristopher Sanchez (0-3) against the Twins and Dallas Keuchel.
Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Twins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):
Phillies vs. Twins Game Information & Odds
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- When: Friday, August 11, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
- Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: NBC 10
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -148 | +125 | 9 | -111 | -109 | -1.5 | +133 | -158 |
Phillies vs. Twins Prediction
- Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Twins 5
- Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
- Win Probabilities: Phillies 53%, Twins 47%
Phillies vs. Twins Betting Insights
- This season, the Phillies have won 46 out of the 78 games, or 59%, in which they've been favored.
- Philadelphia has a record of 23-16 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -148 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 59.7%.
- The Twins have come away with 14 wins in the 38 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Minnesota has won five of 14 games when listed as at least +125 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 44.4% chance of pulling out a win.
Phillies Recent Betting Performance
- The Phillies played as the moneyline favorite for nine of their last 10 games, and they went 6-3 in those matchups.
- In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to go over the run total five times.
- The Phillies have put together a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.
Phillies Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.2 |
| HR | 21 |
| ERA | 3.62 |
| K/9 | 7.5 |
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Phillies Player Insights
- Bryson Stott's .300 average leads the Phillies this year. His resume also includes 10 homers and driven in 44 RBI.
- Among all hitters in MLB, Stott's home run total ranks him 161st, and his RBI tally puts him 116th.
- Alec Bohm has collected 73 runs batted in to lead his team.
- Bohm is 122nd in homers and 14th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
- Bohm carries a six-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .366 with four doubles, two home runs, four walks and eight RBI.
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a team-high 30 home runs.
- Castellanos has 26 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 26 walks while batting .276.
- Castellanos takes an 11-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last 10 games he is hitting .302 with six home runs, a walk and 12 RBI.
Phillies Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 (-278) | 1.5 (+110) | 0.5 (+400) | 0.5 (+140) |
| Nicholas Castellanos | 1.5 (+175) | 1.5 (-105) | 0.5 (+450) | 0.5 (+120) |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.5 (-222) | 1.5 (+115) | 0.5 (+295) | 0.5 (+145) |
| Trea Turner | 1.5 (+160) | 1.5 (-125) | 0.5 (+380) | 0.5 (+125) |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 (-233) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+650) | 0.5 (+160) |
Learn more about this Phillies vs. Twins matchup on Fox Sports.
Twins Recent Betting Performance
- The Twins have been underdogs once in the past 10 games and won that contest.
- When it comes to hitting the over, the Twins and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Twins have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.
Twins Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 3.77 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
Twins Player Insights
- Carlos Correa leads the Twins with 53 runs batted in while putting up a team-high batting average of .227.
- Correa ranks 97th in homers and 75th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
- Correa carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is hitting .216 with a double, two home runs, two walks and eight RBI.
- Kepler has hit a team-high 18 home runs.
- Kepler ranks 43rd among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 116th in RBI.
- Willi Castro has 15 doubles, three triples, five home runs and 24 walks while hitting .245.
- Donovan Solano is hitting .278 with 21 doubles, four home runs and 34 walks.
Twins Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Correa | 1.5 (+195) | 1.5 (+105) | 0.5 (+475) | 0.5 (+150) |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 (-238) | 1.5 (+115) | 0.5 (+475) | 0.5 (+165) |
| Max Kepler | 0.5 (-208) | 1.5 (+150) | 0.5 (+600) | 0.5 (+185) |
| Willi Castro | 1.5 (+185) | 1.5 (+110) | 0.5 (+700) | 0.5 (+240) |
| Ryan Jeffers | 0.5 (-213) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+450) | 0.5 (+170) |
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