Phillies vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 13

Updated Aug. 13, 2023 1:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Alec Bohm and the Philadelphia Phillies will try to get to Sonny Gray when he starts for the Minnesota Twins on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET, in the final game of a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies are favored in this one, at -121, while the underdog Twins have +101 odds to play spoiler. Philadelphia is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total is 8.5 runs for this game.

The starting pitchers are Ranger Suarez (2-5) for the Philadelphia Phillies, and Gray (5-5) for the Minnesota Twins.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Twins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Phillies vs. Twins Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, August 13, 2023 at 1:35 PM ET
Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies	-121	+101	8.5	-111	-109	-1.5	+169	-205

Phillies vs. Twins Prediction

Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Twins 4
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Phillies 54%, Twins 46%

Phillies vs. Twins Betting Insights

The Phillies have won 47, or 59.5%, of the 79 games they've played as favorites this season.
This season Philadelphia has won 39 of its 62 games, or 62.9%, when favored by at least -121 on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
The Twins have been victorious in 14, or 35.9%, of the 39 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This year, Minnesota has won 13 of 29 games when listed as at least +101 or worse on the moneyline.
The Twins have an implied victory probability of 49.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

The Phillies played as the moneyline favorite for nine of their last 10 games, and they went 7-2 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
The Phillies' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	6.5
HR	22
ERA	4.00
K/9	8.6

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Phillies Player Insights

Bryson Stott is the Phillies best hitter so far this season, hitting at a team-leading .299 rate along with 11 homers and 47 RBI.
Stott is 140th in homers and 108th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
Alec Bohm has put up 74 runs batted in to pace his team.
Bohm is 126th in homers and 17th in RBI in the major leagues.
Kyle Schwarber has launched a team-high 30 home runs.
Nicholas Castellanos is batting .282 with 27 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 26 walks.
Castellanos brings a 13-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .366 with a double, five home runs, a walk and 10 RBI.

Phillies Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Trea Turner	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+175)
J.T. Realmuto	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+155)
Bryson Stott	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+200)
Kyle Schwarber	0.5 (-185)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+295)	0.5 (+170)
Jake Cave	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+175)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Twins matchup on Fox Sports.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

Over the past 10 games, the Twins have been underdogs twice and split those games 1-1.
The Twins and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Twins have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.9
HR	21
ERA	4.29
K/9	9.4

Twins Player Insights

Carlos Correa leads the Twins with 54 runs batted in while racking up a team-high batting average of .230.
Among all hitters in MLB, Correa's home run total ranks 81st and his RBI tally is 76th.
Correa carries an eight-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is batting .286 with two doubles, three home runs, five walks and nine RBI.
Max Kepler is hitting .238 with 12 doubles, 19 home runs and 24 walks.
Kepler is 40th in home runs and 114th in RBI among all major league batters this year.
Willi Castro has 15 doubles, three triples, five home runs and 24 walks while hitting .241.
Donovan Solano is hitting .278 with 21 doubles, four home runs and 34 walks.

Twins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Ryan Jeffers	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+160)
Dónovan Solano	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+250)
Jorge Polanco	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+180)
Christian Vázquez	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+195)
Max Kepler	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+165)

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