Phillies vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 22

Updated Jul. 22, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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Carlos Santana will lead the Minnesota Twins into a matchup with Trea Turner and the Philadelphia Phillies on Monday at 7:40 PM ET, in the first game of a three-game series at Target Field. The Phillies are favored in this one, at -115, while the underdog Twins have -105 odds to upset. Philadelphia is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +141 odds). The total is 8.5 runs for the matchup.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Twins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Rockies vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights as the Minnesota Twins took on the Colorado Rockies in this regular season matchup.

Phillies vs. Twins Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, July 22, 2024 at 7:40 PM ET
• Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH

Phillies vs. Twins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Twins 5, Phillies 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 51%, Twins 49%

Phillies vs. Twins Betting Insights

• The Phillies have been favorites in 82 games this season and won 54 (65.9%) of those contests.
• Philadelphia is 52-27 this season when entering a game favored by -115 or more on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 53.5% chance to win.
• The Twins have been victorious in 11, or 37.9%, of the 29 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Minnesota has come away with a win eight times in 25 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Twins have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

FINAL

PHI 2 · MIN 7

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-115

O 8.5

Minnesota Twins

MIN

+1.5

-104

U 8.5

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies were favored on the moneyline for nine of their last 10 games, and they went 5-4 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total four times.
• The Phillies have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Bryce Harper has put up a team-best batting average of .297, while leading the Phillies in home runs (22).
• Of all batters in the majors, Harper's home run total ranks him ninth, and his RBI tally ranks him 15th.
• Harper carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with a double, two home runs, three walks and five RBI.
• Alec Bohm has been productive as he leads his team with 71 RBI.
• Of all MLB hitters, Bohm is 95th in homers and fourth in RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber has nine doubles, 19 home runs and 67 walks while hitting .244.
• Turner is batting .339 with 14 doubles, 12 home runs and 14 walks.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Twins matchup on Fox Sports.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins have been underdogs twice in the last 10 games and split those matchups 1-1.
• The Twins and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Twins are 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Santana has swatted a team-leading 14 long balls.
• Among all batters in MLB, Santana is 55th in home runs and 82nd in RBI.
• Willi Castro is batting .265 with 24 doubles, five triples, seven home runs and 34 walks.
• Castro ranks 174th in home runs and 169th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Ryan Jeffers leads the Twins in home runs (14) and runs batted in (47).
• Byron Buxton is batting .282 with 19 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 13 walks.

Twins Team Props

Rockies vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights as the Minnesota Twins took on the Colorado Rockies in this regular season matchup.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins - 07/22/2024