Phillies vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 23

Phillies vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 23

Updated Jul. 23, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Simeon Woods Richardson gets the nod on the mound for the Minnesota Twins aiming to take down Trea Turner and the Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday at 7:40 PM ET. The Phillies are favored in this one, at -147, while the underdog Twins have +124 odds to win. Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total is 8 runs for this matchup (with -106 odds on the over and -114 odds to go under).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Twins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Phillies vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Minnesota Twins on Monday, July 22.
ADVERTISEMENT

Phillies vs. Twins Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, July 23, 2024 at 7:40 PM ET
  • Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • How to Watch on TV: BSN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -147 +124 8 -106 -114 -1.5 +113 -134

Phillies vs. Twins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Twins 5, Phillies 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Phillies 52%, Twins 48%

Phillies vs. Twins Betting Insights

  • This season, the Phillies have been favored 83 times and won 54, or 65.1%, of those games.
  • Philadelphia is 41-18 this season when entering a game favored by -147 or more on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 59.5% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
  • The Twins have come away with 12 wins in the 30 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Minnesota has won two of nine games when listed as at least +124 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Twins have an implied victory probability of 44.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL
PHI 3 · MIN 0
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Philadelphia Phillies
PHI
Minnesota Twins
MIN

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies were favored on the moneyline for each of their last 10 games, and they finished 5-5 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Phillies' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 17
ERA 5.48
K/9 8.6

Phillies Player Insights

  • Bryce Harper's .297 average and 23 homers both put him atop the Phillies leaderboard this season.
  • Harper's home runs place him seventh in the majors, and he is 16th in RBI.
  • Harper has collected a hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .200 with two home runs, a walk and four RBI.
  • Alec Bohm has totaled 71 runs batted in to lead his team.
  • Including all MLB hitters, Bohm is 95th in homers and fourth in RBI.
  • Bohm enters this matchup looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with two doubles, two walks and an RBI.
  • Kyle Schwarber is batting .241 with nine doubles, 19 home runs and 67 walks.
  • Turner is batting .339 with 14 doubles, 12 home runs and 15 walks.
  • Turner brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with two home runs, two walks and four RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Nicholas Castellanos 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+180)
Trea Turner 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+160)
Bryce Harper 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+380) 0.5 (+155)
Kyle Schwarber 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+300) 0.5 (+155)
Alec Bohm 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+150)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Twins matchup on Fox Sports.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

  • In three games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Twins had a record of 2-1.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Twins and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
  • The Twins have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4
HR 12
ERA 3.62
K/9 8.5

Twins Player Insights

  • Carlos Santana has swatted a team-leading 14 long balls.
  • Santana ranks 55th in home runs and 77th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
  • Willi Castro has 24 doubles, five triples, seven home runs and 35 walks while hitting .265.
  • Castro ranks 176th in home runs and 158th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Ryan Jeffers has been solid source of run production for the Twins with 14 long balls and 47 runs batted in.
  • Byron Buxton is batting .277 with 19 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 13 walks.

Twins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Austin Martin 0.5 (-115) 0.5 (-115) 0.5 (+1200) 0.5 (+340)
Ryan Jeffers 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+290)
Byron Buxton 0.5 (-150) 0.5 (-150) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+215)
Christian Vázquez 0.5 (-115) 0.5 (-115) - 0.5 (+350)
Brooks Lee 0.5 (-155) 0.5 (-155) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+265)

Phillies vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Minnesota Twins on Monday, July 22.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
share