Phillies vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 29

Phillies vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 29

Updated Jul. 29, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

Nicholas Castellanos and the Philadelphia Phillies will take on Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees at Citizens Bank Park on Monday. The favored Phillies have -139 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Yankees, who are listed at +117. Philadelphia is the run-line favorite (-1.5). A 9-run over/under has been set for this matchup.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Yankees game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Yankees Game Information & Odds

  • When: Monday, July 29, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -139 +117 9 -105 -115 -1.5 +141 -170

Phillies vs. Yankees Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Yankees 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Phillies 53%, Yankees 47%

Phillies vs. Yankees Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 88 times this season and won 56, or 63.6%, of those games.
  • Philadelphia has entered 71 games this season favored by -139 or more and is 46-25 in those contests.
  • The Phillies have a 58.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Yankees have won in 17, or 77.3%, of the 22 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • New York has a win-loss record of 3-1 when favored by +117 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 46.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies were the moneyline favorite in each of their last 10 games, and they finished 3-7 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Phillies have put together a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 14
ERA 5.12
K/9 7.1

Phillies Player Insights

  • Bryce Harper has launched a team-high 24 home runs.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Harper is 23rd in batting average, 10th in on-base percentage, and eighth in slugging.
  • Alec Bohm has 71 RBI while batting .295. Both are team-highs.
  • Bohm is 104th in homers and eighth in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Kyle Schwarber is hitting .248 with 11 doubles, 22 home runs and 71 walks.
  • Schwarber will look to build on his four-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .368 with two doubles, three home runs, four walks and eight RBI.
  • Trea Turner has 14 doubles, 13 home runs and 16 walks while batting .326.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Alec Bohm 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+150)
Kyle Schwarber 0.5 (-175) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+220) 0.5 (+130)
Trea Turner 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+280) 0.5 (+150)
Bryce Harper 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+255) 0.5 (+135)
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 (-190) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+170)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Yankees matchup on Fox Sports.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

  • Over the past 10 games, the Yankees have been underdogs just once and won that contest.
  • The Yankees and their opponents have combined to hit the over eight times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Yankees are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.6
HR 17
ERA 4.94
K/9 9.9

Yankees Player Insights

  • Judge leads the squad with a batting average of .314, and leads the Yankees in home runs, with 37 and runs batted in with 96.
  • Judge's home run total puts him first in the big leagues, and he ranks first in RBI.
  • Judge carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .400 with a double, two home runs, nine walks and seven RBI.
  • Juan Soto is hitting .306 with 20 doubles, four triples, 27 home runs and 86 walks.
  • Soto ranks sixth overall in homers and sixth in RBI this season.
  • Anthony Volpe has 19 doubles, seven triples, eight home runs and 30 walks while batting .251.
  • Jazz Chisholm is hitting .248 with 14 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 39 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Austin Wells 0.5 (-195) 1.5 () 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+160)
Juan Soto 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+220) 0.5 (+130)
Alex Verdugo 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+220)
Aaron Judge 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+170) 0.5 (+110)
Jazz Chisholm 0.5 (-165) 0.5 (-165) 0.5 (+380) 0.5 (+210)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Philadelphia Phillies
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