Pirates vs. Astros Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 29

Updated Jul. 29, 2024 8:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Jeremy Pena and the Houston Astros take the field on Monday at Minute Maid Park against Paul Skenes, who gets the start for the Pittsburgh Pirates. First pitch is set for 8:10 PM ET. Oddsmakers list the Pirates as -131 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Astros +111 moneyline odds to win. Pittsburgh is a 1.5-run favorite (at +129 odds). The over/under is 7.5 runs for the game (with -101 odds on the over and -120 odds to go under).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Pirates-Astros game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Pirates vs. Astros Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, July 29, 2024 at 8:10 PM ET
Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
How to Watch on TV: SCHN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Pirates	-131	+111	7.5	-101	-120	-1.5	+129	-152

Pirates vs. Astros Prediction

Score Prediction: Astros 6, Pirates 5
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Pirates 54%, Astros 46%

Pirates vs. Astros Betting Insights

This season, the Pirates have been favored 41 times and won 22, or 53.7%, of those games.
Pittsburgh has a record of 12-11 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -131 on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Pirates, based on the moneyline, is 56.7%.
The Astros have won in 14, or 48.3%, of the 29 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This season, Houston has come away with a win five times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +111 or longer on the moneyline.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 47.4% chance of pulling out a win.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

The Pirates were the moneyline favorite in three of their last 10 games, and they went 2-1 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Pirates combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total four times.
The Pirates' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.3
HR	7
ERA	3.54
K/9	7

Pirates Player Insights

Oneil Cruz has 21 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 28 walks while batting .253.
In all of Major League Baseball, Cruz ranks 37th in home runs and 45th in RBI.
Cruz has collected a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with a double, a triple, two home runs, three walks and two RBI.
Andrew McCutchen is hitting .224 with 13 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 46 walks.
McCutchen ranks 78th in homers and 204th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
Connor Joe is hitting .239 with 18 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 30 walks.
Rowdy Tellez is hitting .251 with 11 doubles, nine home runs and 19 walks.

Pirates Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Joshua Palacios	0.5 (-235)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+215)
Bryan Reynolds	0.5 (-235)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+195)
Oneil Cruz	0.5 (-210)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+370)	0.5 (+155)
Ji-Hwan Bae	0.5 (-160)	0.5 (-160)	0.5 (+1200)	0.5 (+295)
Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.5 (-185)	0.5 (-185)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+265)

Learn more about this Pirates vs. Astros matchup on Fox Sports.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

The Astros have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Astros and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
Over their last 10 games, the Astros are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	12
ERA	3.83
K/9	9.8

Astros Player Insights

Yordan Alvarez has put up a team-best 20 home runs.
Among all hitters in the majors, Alvarez ranks 20th in home runs and 42nd in RBI.
Jose Altuve is batting .309 to lead the lineup.
Altuve is 64th overall in homers and 77th in RBI this year.
Alex Bregman is hitting .254 with 20 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 33 walks.
Pena is hitting .281 with 18 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 18 walks.

Astros Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Yainer Diaz	0.5 (-225)	1.5 (+155)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+240)
Jose Altuve	0.5 (-195)	0.5 ()	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+310)
Yordan Alvarez	0.5 (-160)	0.5 ()	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+200)
Jeremy Pena	0.5 (-170)	0.5 (-190)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+260)
Chas McCormick	0.5 (+110)	0.5 (+110)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+380)