Pirates vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 22

Pirates vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 22

Updated Apr. 22, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Brice Turang and the Milwaukee Brewers will take the field on Monday at PNC Park against Jared Jones, who is expected to start for the Pittsburgh Pirates. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET for the first game of a four-game series. The Brewers have been listed as +123 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favored Pirates (-146). Pittsburgh is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +148 odds). A 7.5-run over/under has been listed for the game.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Pirates-Brewers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Pirates vs. Brewers Game Information & Odds

  • When: Monday, April 22, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
  • Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: BSWI
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Pirates -146 +123 7.5 +102 -122 -1.5 +148 -178

Pirates vs. Brewers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Pirates 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Pirates 54%, Brewers 46%

Pirates vs. Brewers Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have won two of the seven games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Pittsburgh has played as favorites of -146 or more twice this season and lost both games.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 59.3% chance of a victory for the Pirates.
  • The Brewers have been chosen as underdogs in 12 games this year and have walked away with the win eight times (66.7%) in those games.
  • Milwaukee has a win-loss record of 2-1 when favored by +123 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Brewers have a 44.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
FINAL
MIL 2 · PIT 4
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Milwaukee Brewers
MIL
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

  • The Pirates did not win a game as the moneyline favorite in the last 10 games in three tries.
  • In their last 10 outings, the Pirates and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Pirates' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 2.7
HR 5
ERA 4.65
K/9 8.7

Pirates Player Insights

  • Connor Joe paces the Pirates with a .286 batting average.
  • Joe ranks 104th in home runs and 58th in RBI among all batters in baseball.
  • Joe takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .267 with a double, a home run, two walks and two RBI.
  • Bryan Reynolds has collected 13 runs batted in to pace his team.
  • Reynolds ranks 104th in home runs and 40th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes is batting .280 with six doubles and 13 walks.
  • Hayes has at least one base hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .294 with two doubles, three walks and an RBI.
  • Jack Suwinski has two doubles, two home runs and eight walks while batting .191.

Pirates Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jack Suwinski 0.5 (-189) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+170)
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+195)
Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+175)
Connor Joe 0.5 (-164) 0.5 (-164) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+230)
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+270)

Learn more about this Pirates vs. Brewers matchup on Fox Sports.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

  • In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Brewers have a record of 4-2.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Brewers and their opponents are 7-3-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Brewers have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.6
HR 13
ERA 3.10
K/9 7.9

Brewers Player Insights

  • William Contreras paces the Brewers with 20 runs batted in while accumulating a team-best batting average of .354.
  • In all of the majors, Contreras is 35th in homers and sixth in RBI.
  • Turang is hitting .333 with five doubles, two home runs and six walks.
  • Among all major league batters, Turang ranks 104th in home runs and 114th in RBI.
  • Willy Adames is hitting .313 with six doubles, three home runs and 10 walks.
  • Rhys Hoskins has three doubles, four home runs and eight walks while batting .217.

Brewers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
William Contreras 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+180)
Sal Frelick 0.5 (-204) 0.5 (-204) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+300)
Jackson Chourio 0.5 (-141) 0.5 (-141) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+235)
Willy Adames 0.5 (-169) 0.5 (-169) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+195)
Rhys Hoskins 0.5 (-149) 0.5 (-149) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+195)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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