Pirates vs. Cardinals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 2

Updated Jul. 2, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Oneil Cruz and the Pittsburgh Pirates will take on Brendan Donovan and the St. Louis Cardinals at PNC Park in the first of a three-game series, Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET. The Pirates are -124 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Cardinals (+104). Pittsburgh is favored on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the game is set at 8 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Pirates-Cardinals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Pirates vs. Cardinals Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, July 2, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
How to Watch on TV: BSMW

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Pirates	-124	+104	8	-109	-111	-1.5	+164	-198

Pirates vs. Cardinals Prediction

Score Prediction: Pirates 4, Cardinals 3
Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Pirates 53%, Cardinals 47%

Pirates vs. Cardinals Betting Insights

This season, the Pirates have been favored 32 times and won 15, or 46.9%, of those games.
Pittsburgh has a record of 10-12, a 45.5% win rate, when favored by -124 or more by bookmakers this season.
The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 55.4% chance of a victory for the Pirates.
The Cardinals have won in 20, or 48.8%, of the 41 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This season, St. Louis has come away with a win 13 times in 31 chances when named as an underdog of at least +104 or worse on the moneyline.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cardinals have a 49% chance of pulling out a win.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

The Pirates have a 2-1 record from the three games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Pirates combined with their opponents to go over the run total three times.
The Pirates have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.5
HR	11
ERA	4.09
K/9	8.7

Pirates Player Insights

Bryan Reynolds' 13 homers and 46 RBI both lead the Pirates, on top of his team-high .275 average.
Among all hitters in baseball, Reynolds' home run total places him 37th, and his RBI tally puts him 32nd.
Connor Joe has 16 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 25 walks while batting .248.
Among all MLB hitters, Joe ranks 142nd in homers and 145th in RBI.
Andrew McCutchen is hitting .232 with seven doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 34 walks.
Cruz has 15 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 22 walks while hitting .239.

Learn more about this Pirates vs. Cardinals matchup on Fox Sports.

Cardinals Recent Betting Performance

The Cardinals have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Cardinals and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
The Cardinals have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Cardinals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	4.1
HR	7
ERA	3.60
K/9	8.2

Cardinals Player Insights

Donovan has driven in the most runs for the Cardinals with 41 runs batted in.
In all of the big leagues, Donovan is 116th in home runs and 50th in RBI.
Alec Burleson is hitting .278 with 11 doubles, 12 home runs and 11 walks.
Burleson is 48th overall in homers and 72nd in RBI this year.
Nolan Arenado has 13 doubles, seven home runs and 21 walks while hitting .259.
Masyn Winn leads the Cardinals with a .286 batting average.

Cardinals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Kyle Gibson	-	-	-	-

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