Pirates vs. Cardinals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 22

Pirates vs. Cardinals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 22

Updated Jul. 22, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Bryan Reynolds will take on Brendan Donovan and the St. Louis Cardinals at PNC Park on Monday, with the first pitch at 6:40 PM ET. Bookmakers list the Pirates as -127 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Cardinals +107 moneyline odds. Pittsburgh is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 8.5 runs for this game (with -104 odds on the over and -117 odds to go under).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Pirates-Cardinals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Pirates vs. Cardinals Game Information & Odds

  • When: Monday, July 22, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
  • Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: BSMW
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Pirates -127 +107 8.5 -104 -117 -1.5 +160 -193

Pirates vs. Cardinals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Cardinals 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Pirates 54%, Cardinals 46%

Pirates vs. Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have entered the game as favorites 39 times this season and won 21, or 53.8%, of those games.
  • Pittsburgh has a record of 13-11, a 54.2% win rate, when favored by -127 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Pirates, based on the moneyline, is 55.9%.
  • The Cardinals have been underdogs in 47 games this season and have come away with the win 23 times (48.9%) in those contests.
  • This season, St. Louis has come away with a win 10 times in 28 chances when named as an underdog of at least +107 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 48.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
FINAL
STL 1 · PIT 2
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
St. Louis Cardinals
STL
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

  • The Pirates won all of the four games it played as a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Pirates and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Pirates have a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 11
ERA 3.13
K/9 8.8

Pirates Player Insights

  • Not only does Reynolds lead the Pirates in hitting with his .288 average, he also is their premier power option with 18 home runs and 61 RBI.
  • Of all hitters in the majors, Reynolds' home run total places him 20th, and his RBI tally puts him 20th.
  • Oneil Cruz is hitting .252 with 20 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 24 walks.
  • Cruz ranks 46th in homers and 47th in RBI on the year.
  • Andrew McCutchen has 11 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 43 walks while hitting .231.
  • McCutchen is on a seven-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last 10 outings he is batting .270 with three doubles, a home run, six walks and an RBI.
  • Connor Joe is batting .242 with 17 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 29 walks.

Pirates Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Nick Gonzales 1.5 () 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+150)
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 (-215) 1.5 () 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+210)
Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+190)
Oneil Cruz 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+145)
Bryan Reynolds 1.5 () 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+160)

Learn more about this Pirates vs. Cardinals matchup on Fox Sports.

Cardinals Recent Betting Performance

  • The Cardinals have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Cardinals and their opponents are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Cardinals are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Cardinals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 17
ERA 4.29
K/9 7

Cardinals Player Insights

  • Alec Burleson paces the Cardinals with 18 home runs and 59 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .294.
  • Burleson ranks 20th in home runs and 25th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Burleson carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .381 with a double, two home runs and eight RBI.
  • Donovan is hitting .274 with 22 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 29 walks.
  • Donovan ranks 131st in homers and 52nd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Nolan Arenado is hitting .267 with 14 doubles, nine home runs and 26 walks.
  • Masyn Winn has 18 doubles, five triples, five home runs and 26 walks while batting .287.

Cardinals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Masyn Winn 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+1200) 0.5 (+280)
Alec Burleson 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+180)
Brendan Donovan 0.5 (-265) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+175)
Mike Siani 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) - 0.5 (+330)
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+215)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Pittsburgh Pirates
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