Pirates vs. Cubs Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 10

Pirates vs. Cubs Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 10

Updated May. 10, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Chicago Cubs square off on Friday at 6:40 PM ET. Oneil Cruz and Christopher Morel have been on a tear in recent games for their respective squads. The Pirates are favored in this one, at -136, while the underdog Cubs have +115 odds to upset. Pittsburgh is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +161 odds). The total is 7 runs for this matchup.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Pirates-Cubs game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Pirates vs. Cubs Game Information & Odds

  • When: Friday, May 10, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
  • Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Pirates -136 +115 7 -117 -103 -1.5 +161 -195

Pirates vs. Cubs Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Cubs 4, Pirates 3
  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Pirates 51%, Cubs 49%

Pirates vs. Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have been favorites in 16 games this season and won six (37.5%) of those contests.
  • Pittsburgh has a record of 4-4 when favored by -136 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 57.6% chance of a victory for the Pirates.
  • The Cubs have been chosen as underdogs in 23 games this year and have walked away with the win 12 times (52.2%) in those games.
  • This year, Chicago has won seven of 11 games when listed as at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
FINAL
CHC 7 · PIT 2
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Chicago Cubs
CHC
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

  • The Pirates played as the moneyline favorite in eight of their last 10 games, and they finished 3-5 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Pirates and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total two times.
  • The Pirates are 2-8-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 2.1
HR 4
ERA 3.66
K/9 8.3

Pirates Player Insights

  • Bryan Reynolds has sent home a team-best 17 runs batted in.
  • Among all batters in MLB, Reynolds ranks 86th in homers and 79th in RBI.
  • Connor Joe has a club-best .288 batting average.
  • Joe is 122nd in homers and 96th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Joe has two straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes is batting .240 with seven doubles, a home run and 15 walks.
  • Edward Olivares is hitting .222 with two doubles, four home runs and six walks.
  • Olivares is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .211 with a double, a home run and four RBI.

Pirates Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Oneil Cruz 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+150)
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+210)
Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+210)
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 (+110) 0.5 (+110) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+340)
Joey Bart 0.5 (+100) 0.5 (+100) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+290)

Learn more about this Pirates vs. Cubs matchup on Fox Sports.

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

  • The Cubs have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and have gone 2-3 in those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Cubs and their opponents are 3-7-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Cubs have a record of 2-8-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.0
HR 11
ERA 2.40
K/9 8.1

Cubs Player Insights

  • Morel leads the Cubs in home runs (eight) and runs batted in (24).
  • Morel's home run total puts him 19th in the big leagues, and he is 28th in RBI.
  • Nico Hoerner is hitting .273 to lead the lineup.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Hoerner is 246th in home runs and 197th in RBI.
  • Mike Tauchman has eight doubles, three home runs and 21 walks while hitting .269.
  • Cody Bellinger is hitting .239 with a double, a triple, six home runs and 11 walks.

Cubs Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Nico Hoerner 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+220)
Cody Bellinger 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+150)
Nick Madrigal 0.5 (-213) 0.5 (-213) - 0.5 (+295)
Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+280)
Dansby Swanson 0.5 (-141) 0.5 (-141) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+275)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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