Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 27

Updated Jul. 27, 2024 8:00 p.m. ET

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Brandon Pfaadt will start for the Arizona Diamondbacks against Andrew McCutchen and the Pittsburgh Pirates on Saturday at 8:10 PM ET. The Pirates are favored in this one, at -120, while the underdog Diamondbacks have +101 odds to play spoiler. Pittsburgh (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under for the contest is listed at 8.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Pirates-Diamondbacks game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, July 27, 2024 at 8:10 PM ET
• Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
• How to Watch on TV: ARID

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

• Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 5, Pirates 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Pirates 54%, Diamondbacks 46%

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• This season, the Pirates have won 22 out of the 41 games, or 53.7%, in which they've been favored.
• Pittsburgh has entered 33 games this season favored by -120 or more and is 18-15 in those contests.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 54.5% chance to win.
• The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 56 games this season and have come away with the win 25 times (44.6%) in those contests.
• This year, Arizona has won 20 of 44 games when listed as at least +101 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 49.8% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL

PIT 5 · AZ 9

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Pittsburgh Pirates

PIT

+1.5

+152

O 8.5

Arizona Diamondbacks

AZ

-1.5

-183

U 8.5

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates were the moneyline favorite for four of their last 10 games, and they finished 3-1 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Pirates and their opponents combined to go over the run total two times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Pirates' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Oneil Cruz is batting .249 with 21 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 26 walks.
• Cruz ranks 50th in home runs and 50th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Andrew McCutchen is batting .227 with 13 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 45 walks.
• McCutchen is 76th in home runs in MLB, and 204th in RBI.
• Connor Joe is batting .241 with 18 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 30 walks.
• Rowdy Tellez is batting .248 with 10 doubles, nine home runs and 19 walks.

Pirates Team Props

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Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and have gone 3-2 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
• The Diamondbacks have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Ketel Marte leads the Diamondbacks with a .296 batting average.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Marte's home run total ranks 12th and his RBI tally is 18th.
• Marte has collected a hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .368 with a double, three home runs, two walks and eight RBI.
• Christian Walker has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 23 home runs and 70 RBI.
• Walker is currently ninth in home runs and ninth in RBI in the big leagues.
• Corbin Carroll has 16 doubles, seven triples, six home runs and 43 walks while hitting .210.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is batting .266 with 15 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 14 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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