Pirates vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 1

Updated Oct. 1, 2023 3:06 p.m. ET

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Luis Arraez and the Miami Marlins take the field on Sunday at PNC Park against Andre Jackson, who is projected to start for the Pittsburgh Pirates. First pitch will be at 3:05 PM ET. The Marlins are +117 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favored Pirates (-137). Pittsburgh is a 1.5-run favorite (at +148 odds). The game's over/under is set at 9 runs.

The Pirates will give the ball to Jackson (1-3) against the Marlins and Ryan Weathers.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Pirates-Marlins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Pirates vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 3:05 PM ET
• Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT

Pirates vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Pirates 52%, Marlins 48%

Pirates vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Pirates have entered the game as favorites 31 times this season and won 19, or 61.3%, of those games.
• Pittsburgh has entered 17 games this season favored by -137 or more and is 10-7 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from the Pirates, based on the moneyline, is 57.8%.
• The Marlins have been victorious in 40, or 47.1%, of the 85 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Miami has a win-loss record of 20-25 when favored by +117 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 46.1% chance of walking away with the win.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• In the last 10 games, the Pirates have not been named the moneyline favorite by bookmakers.
• Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Pirates and their opponents combined to go over the total six times.
• The Pirates' record against the spread is 8-2-0 over their past 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• The Pirates RBI leader this season is Bryan Reynolds, who has driven in 84 runs while hitting .263 with 24 home runs.
• Of all batters in baseball, Reynolds ranks 52nd in home runs and 44th in RBI.
• Ke'Bryan Hayes' .273 batting average leads his team.
• Hayes is 143rd in home runs and 114th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Jack Suwinski has launched a team-best 26 home runs.
• Suwinski will look to build on his seven-game hitting in this game. In his last 10 games he is batting .324 with a triple, a home run, five walks and six RBI.
• Connor Joe is hitting .244 with 30 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 49 walks.

Pirates Team Props

Learn more about this Pirates vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• In four games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 3-1.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Marlins and their opponents are 5-4-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Marlins have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Arraez leads the team in batting average with a mark of .354.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Arraez ranks 218th in home runs and 89th in RBI.
• Jorge Soler has put up a team-high 36 home runs.
• Among all major league hitters, Soler is 12th in homers and 70th in RBI.
• Jake Burger paces the Marlins with 80 runs batted in.
• Josh Bell has 28 doubles, 22 home runs and 63 walks while batting .249.

Marlins Team Props

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