Pirates vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 11

Updated Sep. 11, 2024 12:00 p.m. ET

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Bailey Falter will start for the Pittsburgh Pirates on Wednesday against Jake Burger and the Miami Marlins. First pitch is at 12:35 p.m. ET at PNC Park. The Marlins are +132 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favored Pirates (-157). Pittsburgh is a 1.5-run favorite (at +130 odds). The game's total has been set at 9 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Pirates-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Pirates' Andrew McCutchen has his 10th career 20 home run season

Pittsburgh Pirates' Andrew McCutchen has his 10th career 20 home run season, after hitting a three-run home run vs. the Miami Marlins

Pirates vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, September 11, 2024 at 12:35 p.m. ET
• Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT

Pirates vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Pirates 56%, Marlins 44%

Pirates vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• This season, the Pirates have been favored 56 times and won 32, or 57.1%, of those games.
• This season Pittsburgh has won eight of its 15 games, or 53.3%, when favored by at least -157 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 61.1% chance to win.
• The Marlins have come away with 50 wins in the 128 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Miami has a mark of 24-46 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +132 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 43.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

MIA 1 · PIT 3

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

+131

O 9

Pittsburgh Pirates

PIT

-1.5

-156

U 9

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates have a 5-2 record across the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Pirates combined with their opponents to go over the run total six times.
• The Pirates' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates in home runs (22), runs batted in (83) and has put up a team-high batting average of .277.
• Of all hitters in MLB, Reynolds' home run total ranks him 40th, and his RBI tally puts him 23rd.
• Reynolds carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .200 with a walk and five RBI.
• Oneil Cruz has 33 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 41 walks while batting .268.
• Cruz is 66th in home runs and 47th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Andrew McCutchen has 16 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 54 walks while batting .241.
• McCutchen has at least one base hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .294 with a double, two home runs, two walks and five RBI.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa is hitting .273 with 13 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 16 walks.
• Kiner-Falefa brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .318 with a double, a walk and two RBI.

Pirates Team Props

Learn more about this Pirates vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents are 5-4-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Marlins have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Burger leads the Marlins in home runs (25) and runs batted in (61).
• Among all hitters in the majors, Burger's home run total is 27th and his RBI tally is 84th.
• Jesus Sanchez is batting .248 to lead the lineup.
• Sanchez ranks 92nd in homers and 90th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Otto Lopez has 18 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 20 walks while batting .256.
• Xavier Edwards is batting .328 with eight doubles, two triples, a home run and 27 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Marlins vs. Rockies Highlights | MLB on FOX

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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