Data Skrive
Valente Bellozo gets the nod on the mound for the Miami Marlins looking to shut down Yasmani Grandal and the Pittsburgh Pirates on Monday at 6:40 p.m. ET. The Marlins have been listed as +225 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favorite Pirates (-277). Pittsburgh is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with -125 odds). The contest's total is set at 7.5 runs.
Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Pirates-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
Nationals vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX
Check out the best moments between the Washington Nationals and the Pittsburgh Pirates on Sunday, September 8.
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Pirates vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds
- When: Monday, September 9, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: BSFL
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates | -277 | +225 | 7.5 | -117 | -104 | -1.5 | -125 | +104 |
Pirates vs. Marlins Prediction
- Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Marlins 4
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Pirates 56%, Marlins 44%
Pirates vs. Marlins Betting Insights
- The Pirates have entered the game as favorites 54 times this season and won 30, or 55.6%, of those games.
- Pittsburgh has not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -277.
- The Pirates have a 73.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- The Marlins have been underdogs in 126 games this season and have come away with the win 50 times (39.7%) in those contests.
- Miami has a win-loss record of 1-4 when favored by +225 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 30.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Pirates Recent Betting Performance
- The Pirates have a 3-2 record over the five games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
- Over their last 10 matchups, the Pirates and their opponents combined to go over the total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
- The Pirates have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.
Pirates Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.97 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
Pirates Player Insights
- Bryan Reynolds' 22 homers and 80 RBI both lead the Pirates, in addition to his team-high .276 average.
- Reynolds' home runs rank him 40th in MLB, and he ranks 31st in RBI.
- Oneil Cruz is hitting .270 with 33 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 40 walks.
- Cruz ranks 82nd in homers and 50th in RBI on the season.
- Cruz has three straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .222 with two doubles, two walks and an RBI.
- Andrew McCutchen is batting .237 with 15 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 52 walks.
- Bryan De La Cruz is hitting .236 with 24 doubles, 19 home runs and 27 walks.
Pirates Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales | 1.5 (-245) | 1.5 (-110) | - | 0.5 (+150) |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 0.5 (-205) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+150) |
| Oneil Cruz | 0.5 (-240) | 1.5 (-105) | - | 0.5 (+130) |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 (-275) | 1.5 (-105) | - | 0.5 (+140) |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 1.5 (-265) | 1.5 (+110) | - | 0.5 (+190) |
Learn more about this Pirates vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.
Marlins Recent Betting Performance
- In nine games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 6-3.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
- The Marlins have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Marlins Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 5.00 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
Marlins Player Insights
- Jake Burger has posted a team-high 25 home runs and has driven in 60 runs.
- Among all batters in MLB, Burger is 25th in home runs and 84th in RBI.
- Jesus Sanchez is hitting .248 to lead the lineup.
- Among all major league hitters, Sanchez ranks 91st in homers and 89th in RBI.
- Otto Lopez is batting .253 with 18 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 19 walks.
- Xavier Edwards has eight doubles, two triples, a home run and 27 walks while batting .325.
Marlins Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Edwards | 0.5 (-265) | 1.5 (+140) | - | 0.5 (+340) |
| Jake Burger | 0.5 (-180) | 0.5 (-180) | - | 0.5 (+175) |
| Jonah Bride | 0.5 (-145) | 0.5 (-145) | - | 0.5 (+295) |
| Nick Fortes | 0.5 (-110) | 0.5 (-110) | - | 0.5 (+370) |
| Kyle Stowers | 0.5 (+105) | 0.5 (+105) | - | 0.5 (+310) |
Nationals vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX
Check out the best moments between the Washington Nationals and the Pittsburgh Pirates on Sunday, September 8.
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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