Pirates vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 9
Valente Bellozo gets the nod on the mound for the Miami Marlins looking to shut down Yasmani Grandal and the Pittsburgh Pirates on Monday at 6:40 p.m. ET. The Marlins have been listed as +225 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favorite Pirates (-277). Pittsburgh is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with -125 odds). The contest's total is set at 7.5 runs.
Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Pirates-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
Pirates vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds
- When: Monday, September 9, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: BSFL
Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pirates | -277 | +225 | 7.5 | -117 | -104 | -1.5 | -125 | +104 |
Pirates vs. Marlins Prediction
- Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Marlins 4
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Pirates 56%, Marlins 44%
Pirates vs. Marlins Betting Insights
- The Pirates have entered the game as favorites 54 times this season and won 30, or 55.6%, of those games.
- Pittsburgh has not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -277.
- The Pirates have a 73.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- The Marlins have been underdogs in 126 games this season and have come away with the win 50 times (39.7%) in those contests.
- Miami has a win-loss record of 1-4 when favored by +225 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 30.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Pirates Recent Betting Performance
- The Pirates have a 3-2 record over the five games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
- Over their last 10 matchups, the Pirates and their opponents combined to go over the total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
- The Pirates have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.
Pirates Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 5-5 |
Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
HR | 9 |
ERA | 4.97 |
K/9 | 8.1 |
Pirates Player Insights
- Bryan Reynolds' 22 homers and 80 RBI both lead the Pirates, in addition to his team-high .276 average.
- Reynolds' home runs rank him 40th in MLB, and he ranks 31st in RBI.
- Oneil Cruz is hitting .270 with 33 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 40 walks.
- Cruz ranks 82nd in homers and 50th in RBI on the season.
- Cruz has three straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .222 with two doubles, two walks and an RBI.
- Andrew McCutchen is batting .237 with 15 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 52 walks.
- Bryan De La Cruz is hitting .236 with 24 doubles, 19 home runs and 27 walks.
Pirates Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Nick Gonzales | 1.5 (-245) | 1.5 (-110) | - | 0.5 (+150) |
Bryan De La Cruz | 0.5 (-205) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+150) |
Oneil Cruz | 0.5 (-240) | 1.5 (-105) | - | 0.5 (+130) |
Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 (-275) | 1.5 (-105) | - | 0.5 (+140) |
Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 1.5 (-265) | 1.5 (+110) | - | 0.5 (+190) |
Learn more about this Pirates vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.
Marlins Recent Betting Performance
- In nine games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 6-3.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
- The Marlins have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Marlins Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 6-4 |
Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
HR | 10 |
ERA | 5.00 |
K/9 | 8.8 |
Marlins Player Insights
- Jake Burger has posted a team-high 25 home runs and has driven in 60 runs.
- Among all batters in MLB, Burger is 25th in home runs and 84th in RBI.
- Jesus Sanchez is hitting .248 to lead the lineup.
- Among all major league hitters, Sanchez ranks 91st in homers and 89th in RBI.
- Otto Lopez is batting .253 with 18 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 19 walks.
- Xavier Edwards has eight doubles, two triples, a home run and 27 walks while batting .325.
Marlins Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Xavier Edwards | 0.5 (-265) | 1.5 (+140) | - | 0.5 (+340) |
Jake Burger | 0.5 (-180) | 0.5 (-180) | - | 0.5 (+175) |
Jonah Bride | 0.5 (-145) | 0.5 (-145) | - | 0.5 (+295) |
Nick Fortes | 0.5 (-110) | 0.5 (-110) | - | 0.5 (+370) |
Kyle Stowers | 0.5 (+105) | 0.5 (+105) | - | 0.5 (+310) |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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