Pirates vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 5

Updated Jul. 5, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Connor Joe and the Pittsburgh Pirates square off against the New York Mets and starter Luis Severino on Friday at 6:40 PM ET at PNC Park. The Mets are +118 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favorite Pirates (-139). Pittsburgh is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The matchup's total has been listed at 7.5 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Pirates-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Cardinals vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Pittsburgh Pirates on Wednesday, July 3.

Pirates vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, July 5, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
How to Watch on TV: SNY

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Pirates	-139	+118	7.5	-123	+103	-1.5	+149	-178

Pirates vs. Mets Prediction

Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Mets 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Pirates 50%, Mets 50%

Pirates vs. Mets Betting Insights

This season, the Pirates have won 16 out of the 34 games, or 47.1%, in which they've been favored.
Pittsburgh has a record of 6-7 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -139 on the moneyline.
The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 58.2% chance of a victory for the Pirates.
The Mets have been victorious in 18, or 46.2%, of the 39 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
New York has a win-loss record of 8-9 when favored by +118 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
The Mets have an implied victory probability of 45.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

The Pirates have a 1-2 record across the three games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings, the Pirates and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Pirates' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	3.8
HR	12
ERA	3.70
K/9	9.3

Pirates Player Insights

Bryan Reynolds is the bat to watch in the Pirates lineup, leading the team in batting average (.273), home runs (14), and RBI (48).
Reynolds' home runs put him 33rd in the majors, and he ranks 35th in RBI.
Reynolds takes a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .182 with a triple, a home run and two RBI.
Connor Joe is hitting .247 with 16 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 25 walks.
Joe is 149th in homers and 157th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
Andrew McCutchen is hitting .229 with eight doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 36 walks.
Oneil Cruz has 16 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 23 walks while hitting .240.
Cruz brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .313 with a double, a home run, three walks and three RBI.

Pirates Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Joshua Palacios	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+190)
Oneil Cruz	-	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+140)
Bryan Reynolds	-	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+165)
Joey Bart	0.5 (-115)	0.5 (-115)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+270)
Jack Suwinski	0.5 (-130)	0.5 (-150)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+240)

Learn more about this Pirates vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

In three games as an underdog over the last 10 matchups, New York has a perfect record of 3-0.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Mets and their opponents are 7-2-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Mets are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.