Pirates vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 8

Pirates vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 8

Updated Jul. 8, 2024 12:00 p.m. ET

Connor Joe and the Pittsburgh Pirates take the field against Brandon Nimmo and the New York Mets at PNC Park on Monday, at 12:35 PM ET. The Pirates are the favorite in this one, at -120, while the underdog Mets have +101 odds to upset. Pittsburgh is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +158 odds). An 8.5-run total has been listed for this contest.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Pirates-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mets vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Pittsburgh Pirates on Sunday, July 7.
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Pirates vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

  • When: Monday, July 8, 2024 at 12:35 PM ET
  • Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Pirates -120 +101 8.5 -104 -116 -1.5 +158 -189

Pirates vs. Mets Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Mets 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Pirates 51%, Mets 49%

Pirates vs. Mets Betting Insights

  • This season, the Pirates have been favored 35 times and won 17, or 48.6%, of those games.
  • Pittsburgh is 13-14 this season when entering a game favored by -120 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Pirates, based on the moneyline, is 54.5%.
  • The Mets have won in 18, or 45%, of the 40 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • New York has a mark of 15-17 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +101 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Mets have an implied victory probability of 49.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
FINAL
NYM 2 · PIT 8
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
New York Mets
NYM
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

  • The Pirates went 2-1 across the three games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups, the Pirates and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Pirates' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 16
ERA 2.97
K/9 9.5

Pirates Player Insights

  • Bryan Reynolds has accumulated a team-high batting average of .281, and paces the Pirates in home runs (16) and runs batted in (54).
  • Reynolds' home runs rank him 23rd in the majors, and he ranks 23rd in RBI.
  • Joe has 16 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 26 walks while hitting .242.
  • Joe ranks 155th in homers and 167th in RBI among all batters in baseball.
  • Andrew McCutchen is batting .227 with eight doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 38 walks.
  • Oneil Cruz has 16 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 24 walks while hitting .243.

Pirates Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Oneil Cruz 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+310) 0.5 (+130)
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 (-210) 1.5 () 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+200)
Nick Gonzales 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+180)
Joshua Palacios 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+180)
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+160)

Learn more about this Pirates vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mets have been underdogs once in the past 10 games and lost that contest.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Mets and their opponents are 6-3-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Mets are 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 13
ERA 5.14
K/9 6.8

Mets Player Insights

  • Francisco Lindor leads the team in batting average with a mark of .250.
  • Among all batters in the majors, Lindor ranks 29th in home runs and 46th in RBI.
  • Pete Alonso has put his power on display as he leads his team with 18 home runs.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Alonso ranks 15th in homers and 38th in RBI.
  • Nimmo leads the Mets with 53 runs batted in.
  • Harrison Bader has 15 doubles, six home runs and 13 walks while batting .271.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Pete Alonso 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+155)
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+165)
Francisco Álvarez 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+170)
J.D. Martínez 0.5 (-275) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+165)
José Iglesias 1.5 () 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+210)

Mets vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Pittsburgh Pirates on Sunday, July 7.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Pittsburgh Pirates
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