Pirates vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 11

Updated Sep. 11, 2023 6:06 p.m. ET

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Jack Suwinski and the Pittsburgh Pirates will take on Lane Thomas and the Washington Nationals at PNC Park on Monday. Oddsmakers list the Pirates as -147 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Nationals +124 moneyline odds. Pittsburgh is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The game's total is set at 8.5 runs.

The Pirates will start Andre Jackson (1-2) versus the Nationals and Patrick Corbin (9-13).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Pirates-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Pirates vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, September 11, 2023 at 6:35 PM ET
• Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT

Pirates vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Nationals 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Pirates 56%, Nationals 44%

Pirates vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• This season, the Pirates have won 16 out of the 27 games, or 59.3%, in which they've been favored.
• This season Pittsburgh has won six of its 11 games, or 54.5%, when favored by at least -147 on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 59.5% chance to win.
• The Nationals have come away with 55 wins in the 131 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Washington has a mark of 47-58 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +124 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 44.6% chance of walking away with the win.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• In the last 10 games, the Pirates were listed as the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers just once, a game they won.
• In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Pirates combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total six times.
• The Pirates are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

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Pirates Player Insights

• Bryan Reynolds is the Pirates best hitter, putting together an average of .270 while also being the team's top run producer, collecting 70 RBI and connecting on 20 round-trippers.
• Including all MLB batters, Reynolds is 49th in batting average, 73rd in on-base percentage, and 45th in slugging.
• Reynolds carries an 11-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .359 with three doubles, two home runs, three walks and six RBI.
• Ke'Bryan Hayes is hitting .267 with 24 doubles, seven triples, 13 home runs and 26 walks.
• Hayes ranks 157th in home runs and 121st in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Hayes carries a seven-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last 10 games he is hitting .244 with two doubles, a triple, three home runs, three walks and five RBI.
• Suwinski has hit a team-best 24 homers.
• Suwinski will look to build on his four-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .294 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
• Connor Joe is hitting .238 with 27 doubles, four triples, 10 home runs and 44 walks.

Pirates Team Props

Learn more about this Pirates vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 2-8.
• The Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Nationals have won two of their last 10 games against the spread.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• Thomas paces the Nationals in home runs (24), runs batted in (77) and has recorded a team-high batting average of .282.
• Thomas' home run total places him 38th in the big leagues, and he is 40th in RBI.
• C.J. Abrams has 22 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 25 walks while hitting .250.
• Abrams ranks 112th overall in home runs and 127th in RBI this year.
• Joey Meneses has a team-high 77 runs batted in.
• Keibert Ruiz is batting .257 with 19 doubles, 17 home runs and 30 walks.

Nationals Team Props

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Pirates vs Nationals!

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MLB - Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - 09/11/2023

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