Pirates vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 5

Pirates vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 5

Updated Sep. 5, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Oneil Cruz and C.J. Abrams will be among the stars on display when the Pittsburgh Pirates face the Washington Nationals on Thursday at 6:40 p.m. ET, at PNC Park. Bookmakers list the Pirates as -121 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Nationals +102 moneyline odds to win. Washington is a 1.5-run favorite (at +165 odds). The total is 8 runs for the matchup (with -113 odds to go over and -107 odds to go under).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Pirates-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Nationals vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the Washington Nationals and the Miami Marlins.
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Pirates vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

  • When: Thursday, September 5, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: MASN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Pirates -121 +102 8 -113 -107 -1.5 -201 +165

Pirates vs. Nationals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Nationals 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Pirates 53%, Nationals 47%

Pirates vs. Nationals Betting Insights

  • This season, the Pirates have won 28 out of the 50 games, or 56%, in which they've been favored.
  • Pittsburgh has a record of 21-17, a 55.3% win rate, when favored by -121 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Pirates have a 54.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 114 games this year and have walked away with the win 49 times (43%) in those games.
  • This season, Washington has come away with a win 42 times in 100 chances when named as an underdog of at least +102 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 49.5% chance of pulling out a win.
FINAL
WSH 4 · PIT 9
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Washington Nationals
WSH
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

  • The Pirates have a 1-2 record across the three games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings, the Pirates and their opponents combined to hit the over six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Pirates have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 11
ERA 6.93
K/9 8.3

Pirates Player Insights

  • Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates in home runs (22), runs batted in (77) and has a team-high batting average of .280.
  • Reynolds ranks 35th in home runs and 34th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Cruz has 31 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 38 walks while batting .267.
  • Cruz ranks 76th in home runs and 50th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Andrew McCutchen has 15 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 52 walks while batting .237.
  • Bryan De La Cruz is batting .236 with 23 doubles, 19 home runs and 27 walks.

Pirates Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+175)
Bryan De La Cruz 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+175)
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+215)
Nick Gonzales 1.5 () 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+140)
Oneil Cruz 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+155)

Learn more about this Pirates vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

  • The Nationals have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times.
  • The Nationals have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 10
ERA 4.24
K/9 10

Nationals Player Insights

  • Abrams paces the Nationals with 18 long balls.
  • Abrams' home run total puts him 76th in the majors, and he ranks 70th in RBI.
  • Luis Garcia's 63 RBI and .290 batting average are both team-highs.
  • Garcia ranks 108th among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 65th in RBI.
  • Jacob Young is hitting .263 with 23 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 27 walks.
  • Keibert Ruiz is hitting .223 with 15 doubles, 13 home runs and 13 walks.

Nationals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
James Wood 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+200)
Andres Chaparro 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+160)
Dylan Crews 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+195)
Juan Yepez 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+145)
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+220)

Nationals vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the Washington Nationals and the Miami Marlins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Pittsburgh Pirates
Washington Nationals
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