Pirates vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 22

Pirates vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 22

Updated Jun. 22, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Bryan Reynolds and the Pittsburgh Pirates will see Zach Eflin on the hill for the Tampa Bay Rays on Saturday at 4:05 PM ET. The Rays are -107 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favored Pirates (-112). Tampa Bay is a 1.5-run favorite (at +148 odds). The total is 8.5 runs for the game.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Pirates-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Pirates vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, June 22, 2024 at 4:05 PM ET
  • Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: BSSUN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Pirates -112 -107 8.5 -114 -106 -1.5 -179 +148

Pirates vs. Rays Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Pirates 6, Rays 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Pirates 53%, Rays 47%

Pirates vs. Rays Betting Insights

  • This season, the Pirates have won 14 out of the 30 games, or 46.7%, in which they've been favored.
  • Pittsburgh has a record of 14-15, a 48.3% win rate, when favored by -112 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Pirates, based on the moneyline, is 52.8%.
  • The Rays have been victorious in 13, or 43.3%, of the 30 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Tampa Bay has won 13 of 30 games when listed as at least -107 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 51.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
FINAL
TB 3 · PIT 4
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Tampa Bay Rays
TB
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

  • The Pirates have a 5-2 record from the seven games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Pirates and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total two times.
  • The Pirates' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.3
HR 9
ERA 4.34
K/9 8.2

Pirates Player Insights

  • Reynolds' 11 round-trippers and 41 RBI both lead the Pirates, in addition to his team-high .272 average.
  • Among all MLB batters, Reynolds is 38th in batting average, 43rd in on-base percentage, and 46th in slugging.
  • Reynolds has collected a hit in 18 games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .333 with four doubles, a triple, three home runs, two walks and six RBI.
  • Connor Joe is batting .242 with 14 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 22 walks.
  • Joe is 119th in home runs and 118th in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
  • Andrew McCutchen has seven doubles, 10 home runs and 29 walks while hitting .242.
  • Oneil Cruz has 15 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 18 walks while batting .242.

Pirates Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+200)
Bryan Reynolds 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+180)
Connor Joe 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+185)
Rowdy Tellez 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+165)
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+195)

Learn more about this Pirates vs. Rays matchup on Fox Sports.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

  • In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Rays have a record of 4-3.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Rays and their opponents are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Rays have won eight of their last 10 games against the spread.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.0
HR 16
ERA 4.44
K/9 8.8

Rays Player Insights

  • Isaac Paredes leads the Rays in home runs (11), runs batted in (39) and has a team-high batting average of .285.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Paredes' home run total ranks 45th and his RBI tally is 43rd.
  • Paredes carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with a home run, three walks and an RBI.
  • Yandy Diaz is hitting .266 with 14 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 27 walks.
  • Among all major league batters, Diaz ranks 182nd in home runs and 74th in RBI.
  • Randy Arozarena has 12 doubles, 10 home runs and 35 walks while hitting .191.
  • Amed Rosario is batting .301 with 12 doubles, three triples, two home runs and seven walks.

Rays Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Brandon Lowe 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+340) 0.5 (+170)
Isaac Paredes 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+175)
Amed Rosario 1.5 (+155) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+145)
Randy Arozarena 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+170)
Josh Lowe 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+160)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Pittsburgh Pirates
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