Pirates vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 22

Updated Jun. 22, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

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Bryan Reynolds and the Pittsburgh Pirates will see Zach Eflin on the hill for the Tampa Bay Rays on Saturday at 4:05 PM ET. The Rays are -107 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favored Pirates (-112). Tampa Bay is a 1.5-run favorite (at +148 odds). The total is 8.5 runs for the game.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Pirates-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Pirates vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, June 22, 2024 at 4:05 PM ET
• Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: BSSUN

Pirates vs. Rays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Pirates 6, Rays 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Pirates 53%, Rays 47%

Pirates vs. Rays Betting Insights

• This season, the Pirates have won 14 out of the 30 games, or 46.7%, in which they've been favored.
• Pittsburgh has a record of 14-15, a 48.3% win rate, when favored by -112 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Pirates, based on the moneyline, is 52.8%.
• The Rays have been victorious in 13, or 43.3%, of the 30 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, Tampa Bay has won 13 of 30 games when listed as at least -107 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 51.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL

TB 3 · PIT 4

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Tampa Bay Rays

TB

-1.5

-108

o8.5

Pittsburgh Pirates

PIT

+1.5

-112

u8.5

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates have a 5-2 record from the seven games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Pirates and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total two times.
• The Pirates' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Reynolds' 11 round-trippers and 41 RBI both lead the Pirates, in addition to his team-high .272 average.
• Among all MLB batters, Reynolds is 38th in batting average, 43rd in on-base percentage, and 46th in slugging.
• Reynolds has collected a hit in 18 games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .333 with four doubles, a triple, three home runs, two walks and six RBI.
• Connor Joe is batting .242 with 14 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 22 walks.
• Joe is 119th in home runs and 118th in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
• Andrew McCutchen has seven doubles, 10 home runs and 29 walks while hitting .242.
• Oneil Cruz has 15 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 18 walks while batting .242.

Pirates Team Props

Learn more about this Pirates vs. Rays matchup on Fox Sports.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Rays have a record of 4-3.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Rays and their opponents are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Rays have won eight of their last 10 games against the spread.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Isaac Paredes leads the Rays in home runs (11), runs batted in (39) and has a team-high batting average of .285.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Paredes' home run total ranks 45th and his RBI tally is 43rd.
• Paredes carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with a home run, three walks and an RBI.
• Yandy Diaz is hitting .266 with 14 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 27 walks.
• Among all major league batters, Diaz ranks 182nd in home runs and 74th in RBI.
• Randy Arozarena has 12 doubles, 10 home runs and 35 walks while hitting .191.
• Amed Rosario is batting .301 with 12 doubles, three triples, two home runs and seven walks.

Rays Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - 06/22/2024