Pirates vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 21

Updated Apr. 21, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

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Jarren Duran and the Boston Red Sox take the field on Sunday at PNC Park against Martin Perez, who is projected to start for the Pittsburgh Pirates. First pitch is at 1:35 PM ET for the final game of a three-game series. The Pirates are favored in this one, at -152, while the underdog Red Sox have +128 odds to upset. Pittsburgh is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The game's over/under has been set at 8 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Pirates-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays in this matchup between the Boston Red Sox and the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Pirates vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, April 21, 2024 at 1:35 PM ET
• Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: NESN

Pirates vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Red Sox 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Pirates 51%, Red Sox 49%

Pirates vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• The Pirates have won two of the six games they've played as favorites this season.
• Pittsburgh has not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -152.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 60.3% chance to win.
• The Red Sox have been underdogs in 11 games this season and have come away with the win five times (45.5%) in those contests.
• Boston has been listed as an underdog of +128 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 43.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL

BOS 6 · PIT 1

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Boston Red Sox

BOS

+1.5

+129

O 8

Pittsburgh Pirates

PIT

-1.5

-152

U 8

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates did not win a game while favored on the moneyline in the last 10 games in three tries.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Pirates and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
• The Pirates' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Bryan Reynolds has put up a team-high 13 runs batted in.
• Among all batters in MLB, Reynolds is 101st in homers and 36th in RBI.
• Connor Joe's .288 batting average leads his team.
• Joe is 101st in homers and 50th in RBI on the season.
• Ke'Bryan Hayes is hitting .264 with six doubles and 13 walks.
• Edward Olivares has hit three home runs to pace his team.

Pirates Team Props

Learn more about this Pirates vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• The Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Red Sox have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Duran leads the team in batting average with a mark of .280.
• Among all batters in the majors, Duran is 163rd in home runs and 105th in RBI.
• Triston Casas has driven in the most runs for the Red Sox with 10 runs batted in.
• Casas ranks fourth in homers and 86th in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
• Masataka Yoshida has a team-high 10 runs batted in.
• Rafael Devers has three doubles, two home runs and nine walks while hitting .188.

Red Sox Team Props

Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays in this matchup between the Boston Red Sox and the Pittsburgh Pirates.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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