Pirates vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 11

Updated Aug. 11, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Joey Votto and the Cincinnati Reds take the field on Friday at PNC Park against Johan Oviedo, who gets the start for the Pittsburgh Pirates. First pitch is set for 7:05 PM ET for the first game of a three-game series. The Pirates are favored in this one, at -116, while the underdog Reds have -104 odds to win. Cincinnati is favored on the run line (-1.5). The matchup's over/under has been listed at 9 runs.

The Pittsburgh Pirates will hand the ball to Oviedo (6-11, 4.18 ERA), who is looking for win No. 7 on the season, and the Reds will counter with Andrew Abbott (6-3, 2.93 ERA).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Pirates-Reds game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Pirates vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, August 11, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Pirates	-116	-104	9	-106	-113	-1.5	-178	+150

Pirates vs. Reds Prediction

Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Reds 4
Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Pirates 51%, Reds 49%

Pirates vs. Reds Betting Insights

This season, the Pirates have won 13 out of the 22 games, or 59.1%, in which they've been favored.
This season Pittsburgh has won 12 of its 20 games, or 60%, when favored by at least -116 on the moneyline.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 53.7% chance to win.
The Reds have won in 41, or 48.8%, of the 84 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This season, Cincinnati has been victorious 35 times in 76 chances when named as an underdog of at least -104 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 51% chance of walking away with the win.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

The Pirates were listed as the moneyline favorite by bookmakers only once in the last 10 games, and won that matchup.
Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Pirates and their opponents combined to hit the over seven times.
The Pirates have put together a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.7
HR	14
ERA	5.15
K/9	8.3

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Pirates Player Insights

Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates in runs batted in (54) and has put up a team-high batting average of .269.
Among all MLB batters, Reynolds ranks 48th in batting average, 69th in on-base percentage, and 55th in slugging.
Reynolds carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .353 with two home runs, four walks and three RBI.
Andrew McCutchen is hitting .260 with 14 doubles, 10 home runs and 63 walks.
McCutchen is 161st in homers and 213th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Jack Suwinski paces the Pirates with 21 home runs.
Ke'Bryan Hayes is hitting .255 with 17 doubles, six triples, seven home runs and 17 walks.
Hayes brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .333 with a double, a triple, two home runs, a walk and nine RBI.

Pirates Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Andrew McCutchen	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+370)	0.5 (+140)
Ke'Bryan Hayes	1.5 (+155)	1.5 (-115)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+180)
Bryan Reynolds	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+160)
Connor Joe	0.5 (-185)	0.5 (-185)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+160)
Liover Peguero	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+225)

Learn more about this Pirates vs. Reds matchup on Fox Sports.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

The Reds have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Reds and their opponents are 3-7-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Reds have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	2-8
Runs Per Game	4.4
HR	17
ERA	7.16
K/9	9.8

Reds Player Insights

Spencer Steer leads the Reds in home runs (18) and runs batted in (64).
Steer is 43rd in home runs and 39th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Steer brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .176 with a double, a home run and two RBI.
TJ Friedl is hitting .279 to lead the lineup.
Friedl ranks 161st overall in homers and 112th in RBI this season.
Matt McLain is hitting .297 with 21 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 25 walks.
Tyler Stephenson has 14 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 42 walks while hitting .246.

Reds Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Tyler Stephenson	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+155)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+230)
TJ Friedl	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+225)
Spencer Steer	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+155)
Joey Votto	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+155)
Stuart Fairchild	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+230)

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