Rangers vs. Astros ALCS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 18

Updated Oct. 18, 2023 8:05 p.m. ET

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The ALCS rolls on Wednesday at 8:03 PM ET when the Texas Rangers host the Houston Astros live on Fox Sports 1 from Globe Life Field. The Rangers lead the series 2-0, and the Astros hope to battle back with a win in Game 3. The Astros are listed as +104 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favorite Rangers (-123). Texas is a 1.5-run favorite (at +150 odds). The over/under is 9 runs for this contest (with -122 odds on the over and +102 odds to go under).

The probable pitchers are Max Scherzer (13-6, 3.77 ERA) for the Rangers against Cristian Javier (10-5, 4.56 ERA) for the Astros.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Rangers-Astros game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Rangers vs. Astros Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, October 18, 2023 at 8:03 PM ET
• Where: Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas
• How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1

Rangers vs. Astros Prediction

• Score Prediction: Rangers 5, Astros 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Rangers 54%, Astros 46%

Rangers vs. Astros Betting Insights

• The Rangers have entered the game as favorites 113 times this season and won 67, or 59.3%, of those games.
• This season Texas has won 58 of its 97 games, or 59.8%, when favored by at least -123 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 55.2% chance of a victory for the Rangers.
• The Astros have been underdogs in 45 games this season and have come away with the win 30 times (66.7%) in those contests.
• Houston has a mark of 18-11 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +104 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Astros have a 49% chance of walking away with the win.

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

• In the last 10 games, the Rangers have been named the moneyline favorite by bookmakers only once, a game they won.
• Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Rangers and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total two times.
• The Rangers' ATS record is 9-1-0 over their past 10 games.

Rangers Recent Stats

Rangers Player Insights

• Marcus Semien is hitting .276 with 40 doubles, four triples, 29 home runs and 72 walks.
• Including all MLB batters, Semien is 28th in batting average, 39th in on-base percentage, and 33rd in slugging.
• Corey Seager has a club-best .327 batting average.
• Seager ranks 16th in homers and 27th in RBI on the year.
• Seager carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .267 with a home run, nine walks and an RBI.
• Adolis Garcia has a team-high 39 home runs and 107 runs batted in.
• Nate Lowe has 38 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 93 walks while batting .262.

Rangers Team Props

Learn more about this Rangers vs. Astros matchup on Fox Sports.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won each of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Astros and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
• The Astros have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Kyle Tucker has posted a team-best batting average of .284 and paces the Astros in runs batted in with a mark of 112.
• Tucker's home run total places him 30th in the majors, and he ranks third in RBI.
• Alex Bregman has 28 doubles, four triples, 25 home runs and 92 walks while hitting .262.
• Bregman ranks 46th in home runs and 19th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Yordan Alvarez has 31 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
• Jose Altuve is hitting .311 with 21 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 44 walks.

Astros Team Props

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