Rangers vs. Astros ALCS Game 4 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 19

Rangers vs. Astros ALCS Game 4 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 19

Updated Oct. 19, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The ALCS resumes Thursday at 8:03 PM ET when the Texas Rangers host the Houston Astros live on Fox Sports 1 from Globe Life Field. The Rangers would take a commanding 3-1 series lead with a Game 4 win, while the Rangers hope to tie the series up heading into Game 5. The Astros have been listed as -110 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favored Rangers (-110). Houston is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total is 10 runs for this matchup.

The probable starters are Andrew Heaney (10-6, 4.15 ERA) for the Rangers against Jose Urquidy (3-3, 5.29 ERA) for the Astros.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rangers-Astros game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Rangers vs. Astros Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Thursday, October 19, 2023 at 8:03 PM ET
  • Where: Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas
  • How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
PUSH -110 -110 10 -105 -115 -1.5 -176 +145

Rangers vs. Astros Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Rangers 5, Astros 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Rangers 53%, Astros 47%

Rangers vs. Astros Betting Insights

  • The Rangers have been favorites in 114 games this season and won 67 (58.8%) of those contests.
  • Texas has entered 114 games this season favored by -110 or more and is 67-47 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Rangers, based on the moneyline, is 52.4%.
  • The Astros have been victorious in 31, or 67.4%, of the 46 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Houston has a mark of 31-15 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -110 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Astros have a 52.4% chance of walking away with the win.

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

  • Over the last 10 games, the Rangers were named the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers only twice, and they split those games.
  • Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Rangers combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total three times.
  • The Rangers' record against the spread is 9-1-0 over their past 10 games.

Rangers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 5
HR 11
ERA 2.53
K/9 8

Rangers Player Insights

  • Marcus Semien is hitting .276 with 40 doubles, four triples, 29 home runs and 72 walks.
  • Semien's home runs place him 30th in the majors, and he ranks 16th in RBI.
  • Corey Seager is batting .327 to lead his team.
  • Seager ranks 16th in home runs in the majors, and 27th in RBI.
  • Adolis Garcia leads the Rangers in home runs (39) and runs batted in (107).
  • Garcia is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .300 with a home run and six RBI.
  • Nate Lowe is batting .262 with 38 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 93 walks.
  • Lowe is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .200 with a home run, a walk and two RBI.

Rangers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Adolis García 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+230) 0.5 (+105)
Corey Seager 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (-141) 0.5 (+245) 0.5 (+110)
Marcus Semien 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+155)
Leody Taveras 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+230)
Nate Lowe 0.5 (-169) 0.5 (-169) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+225)

Learn more about this Rangers vs. Astros matchup on Fox Sports.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

  • The Astros have played as underdogs four times over their past 10 games and won each of those contests.
  • The Astros and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Astros have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 16
ERA 2.50
K/9 9.5

Astros Player Insights

  • The Astros are led in runs batted in by Kyle Tucker with a mark of 112, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .284.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Tucker's home run total is 30th and his RBI tally is third.
  • Alex Bregman is hitting .262 with 28 doubles, four triples, 25 home runs and 92 walks.
  • Bregman ranks 46th in home runs and 19th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Yordan Alvarez has 31 home runs, best in the lineup.
  • Jose Altuve has 21 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 44 walks while batting .311.

Astros Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Mauricio Dubon 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+225)
Jose Altuve 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+190)
José Abreu 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+350) 0.5 (+155)
Alex Bregman 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+170)
Yordan Alvarez 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+310) 0.5 (+140)
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