Rangers vs. Astros ALCS Game 5 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 20

Updated Oct. 20, 2023 5:00 p.m. ET

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The ALCS rolls on Friday at 5:07 PM ET when the Texas Rangers host the Houston Astros live on Fox Sports 1 from Globe Life Field. Both teams are looking for an all-important win to break the 2-2 tie in the series. The favored Rangers have -111 moneyline odds against the underdog Astros, who are listed at -108. Houston is a 1.5-run favorite (at +152 odds). The total for the contest is listed at 9 runs.

The probable pitchers are Jordan Montgomery (10-11, 3.20 ERA) for the Rangers against Justin Verlander (13-8, 3.22 ERA) for the Astros.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Rangers-Astros game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Rangers vs. Astros Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, October 20, 2023 at 5:07 PM ET
• Where: Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas
• How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1

Rangers vs. Astros Prediction

• Score Prediction: Rangers 5, Astros 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Rangers 53%, Astros 47%

Rangers vs. Astros Betting Insights

• The Rangers have won 67, or 58.8%, of the 114 games they've played as favorites this season.
• This season Texas has won 66 of its 113 games, or 58.4%, when favored by at least -111 on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 52.6% chance of a victory for the Rangers.
• The Astros have been chosen as underdogs in 46 games this year and have walked away with the win 31 times (67.4%) in those games.
• Houston has a mark of 28-15 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -108 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 51.9% chance of pulling out a win.

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

• Over the last 10 games, the Rangers were listed as the moneyline favorite by bookmakers only twice, and they split those games.
• In their last 10 outings, the Rangers and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Rangers' record against the spread is 8-2-0 over their past 10 games.

Rangers Recent Stats

Rangers Player Insights

• Marcus Semien has 40 doubles, four triples, 29 home runs and 72 walks while hitting .276.
• In all of MLB, Semien ranks 30th in home runs and 16th in RBI.
• Corey Seager is hitting .327 to pace his team.
• Seager is 16th in home runs and 27th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Adolis Garcia has a team-high 39 home runs and 107 runs batted in.
• Garcia will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .316 with two home runs and six RBI.
• Nate Lowe has 38 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 93 walks while batting .262.
• Lowe is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .250 with a double, a home run and two RBI.

Rangers Team Props

Learn more about this Rangers vs. Astros matchup on Fox Sports.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won each of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Astros and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
• The Astros have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• The Astros are led in runs batted in by Kyle Tucker with a mark of 112, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .284.
• In all of the big leagues, Tucker ranks 30th in homers and third in RBI.
• Alex Bregman is hitting .262 with 28 doubles, four triples, 25 home runs and 92 walks.
• Bregman is 46th overall in homers and 19th in RBI this season.
• Yordan Alvarez has 31 home runs, best in the lineup.
• Jose Altuve has 21 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 44 walks while batting .311.

Astros Team Props

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