Rangers vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 15

Updated Jul. 15, 2023 3:02 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Josh Naylor and the Cleveland Guardians will take the field against the Texas Rangers and starter Andrew Heaney on Saturday. First pitch is at 4:05 PM ET at Globe Life Field. The Rangers are the favorite in this one, at -169, while the underdog Guardians have +144 odds to play spoiler. Texas (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The matchup's total has been set at 8.5 runs.

The Rangers will start Heaney (5-6) against the Guardians and Gavin Williams (1-1).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rangers-Guardians game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Rangers vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, July 15, 2023 at 4:05 PM ET
Where: Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas
How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Rangers	-169	+144	8.5	-119	-101	-1.5	+116	-138

Rangers vs. Guardians Prediction

Score Prediction: Rangers 5, Guardians 4
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities:

Rangers vs. Guardians Betting Insights

The Rangers have been favorites in 63 games this season and won 37 (58.7%) of those contests.
Texas is 16-5 this season when entering a game favored by -169 or more on the moneyline.
The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 62.8% chance of a victory for the Rangers.
The Guardians have been victorious in 17, or 42.5%, of the 40 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
Cleveland has won all of its four games in which it was named as at least a +144 moneyline underdog.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 41% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

The Rangers have a 4-6 record over the 10 games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Rangers and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Rangers' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Rangers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	5.7
HR	15
ERA	5.55
K/9	7.4

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Rangers Player Insights

Marcus Semien is hitting .268 with 27 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 41 walks.
Among all hitters in the majors, Semien is 91st in home runs and 19th in RBI.
Adolis Garcia has hit 24 home runs with 78 RBI. Both are team-highs.
Garcia is sixth in homers in the majors, and first in RBI.
Garcia has two games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with two doubles, two home runs, three walks and seven RBI.
Corey Seager has 27 doubles, 13 home runs and 27 walks while hitting .355.
Seager has at least one base hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .364 with two doubles, three home runs, a walk and four RBI.
Nate Lowe is hitting .278 with 26 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 50 walks.

Rangers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Marcus Semien	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (-115)	0.5 (+330)	0.5 (+140)
Corey Seager	1.5 (+170)	1.5 (-115)	0.5 (+330)	0.5 (+130)
Jonah Heim	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+170)
Adolis García	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+270)	0.5 (+110)
Nate Lowe	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+160)

Learn more about this Rangers vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

The Guardians have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and have gone 2-3 in those contests.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Guardians and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Guardians have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.7
HR	8
ERA	4.55
K/9	8.2

Guardians Player Insights

Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 14 long balls.
Ramirez's home run total places him 50th in MLB, and he ranks 30th in RBI.
Ramirez carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .231 with two doubles, a home run, five walks and an RBI.
Naylor's 66 runs batted in and .310 batting average both pace his team.
Naylor is 75th overall in home runs and fifth in RBI this season.
Steven Kwan is hitting .262 with 21 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 40 walks.
Andres Gimenez is batting .243 with 14 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 19 walks.

Guardians Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
José Ramírez	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+310)	0.5 (+130)
Amed Rosario	1.5 (+175)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+195)
Tyler Freeman	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+155)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+220)
Steven Kwan	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+150)	-	0.5 (+285)
Andrés Giménez	0.5 (-189)	0.5 (-189)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+235)

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