Rangers vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 16

Updated Jul. 16, 2023 2:11 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Jose Ramirez and the Cleveland Guardians square off against Adolis Garcia and the Texas Rangers on Sunday at 2:35 PM ET at Globe Life Field. Oddsmakers list the Rangers as -136 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Guardians +116 moneyline odds. Texas is a 1.5-run favorite (at +144 odds). The total is 9 runs for the game (with -114 odds to hit the over and -106 odds on the under).

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Texas Rangers looking to Martin Perez (7-3), and Tanner Bibee (5-2) taking the ball for the Cleveland Guardians.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rangers-Guardians game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Rangers vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, July 16, 2023 at 2:35 PM ET
Where: Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas
How to Watch on TV: BSSW

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Rangers	-136	+116	9	-114	-106	-1.5	+144	-171

Rangers vs. Guardians Prediction

Score Prediction: Rangers 5, Guardians 4
Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
Win Probabilities:

Rangers vs. Guardians Betting Insights

The Rangers have entered the game as favorites 64 times this season and won 38, or 59.4%, of those games.
Texas has a record of 28-19, a 59.6% win rate, when favored by -136 or more by bookmakers this season.
The Rangers have a 57.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Guardians have been victorious in 17, or 41.5%, of the 41 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This season, Cleveland has come away with a win seven times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least +116 or longer on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 46.3% chance of walking away with the win.

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

The Rangers went 4-6 across the 10 games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Rangers and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Rangers have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rangers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	5.4
HR	15
ERA	5.34
K/9	7.6

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Rangers Player Insights

Marcus Semien is hitting .271 with 27 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 41 walks.
Of all hitters in the majors, Semien ranks 93rd in homers and 20th in RBI.
Garcia has shown his power as he paces his team with 24 home runs and 79 RBI.
Garcia ranks sixth in home runs and first in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
Corey Seager is hitting .355 with 28 doubles, 13 home runs and 28 walks.
Seager is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with three doubles, two home runs, two walks and three RBI.
Nate Lowe has 26 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 51 walks while batting .275.

Rangers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Marcus Semien	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+155)
Corey Seager	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+320)	0.5 (+130)
Nate Lowe	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+180)
Adolis García	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+310)	0.5 (+130)
Ezequiel Duran	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+170)

Learn more about this Rangers vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Guardians have a record of 1-4.
The Guardians and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Guardians are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.1
HR	8
ERA	4.80
K/9	7.9

Guardians Player Insights

Ramirez paces the Guardians with 14 long balls.
In all of the majors, Ramirez is 53rd in home runs and 32nd in RBI.
Ramirez carries a seven-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .205 with two doubles, a home run, five walks and an RBI.
Josh Naylor has 66 runs batted in while batting .309. Each is tops on the club.
Naylor is 75th among all batters in MLB in home runs, and fifth in RBI.
Steven Kwan has 21 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 40 walks while hitting .262.
Andres Gimenez has 14 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 19 walks while batting .243.

Guardians Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Josh Naylor	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+160)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+165)
José Ramírez	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+120)
Amed Rosario	1.5 (+145)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+170)
Steven Kwan	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+135)	-	0.5 (+260)
Tyler Freeman	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+220)

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