Rangers vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 15

Updated Sep. 15, 2023 7:06 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Jon Gray is starting for the Texas Rangers on Friday against Josh Naylor and the Cleveland Guardians. First pitch is at 7:10 PM ET at Progressive Field. The favored Rangers have -120 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Guardians, who are listed at +101. Texas is a 1.5-run favorite (at +134 odds). The over/under for the matchup is set at 8 runs.

The Texas Rangers will give the start to Gray (8-7, 3.78 ERA), who is looking for win No. 9 on the season, and the Guardians will counter with Lucas Giolito (7-13, 4.89 ERA).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rangers-Guardians game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Rangers vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, September 15, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: BSGL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Rangers	-120	+101	8	-104	-115	-1.5	+134	-158

Rangers vs. Guardians Prediction

Score Prediction: Rangers 6, Guardians 5
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Rangers 51%, Guardians 49%

Rangers vs. Guardians Betting Insights

This season, the Rangers have been favored 101 times and won 59, or 58.4%, of those games.
Texas is 51-36 this season when entering a game favored by -120 or more on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Rangers.
The Guardians have been underdogs in 76 games this season and have come away with the win 33 times (43.4%) in those contests.
This season, Cleveland has come away with a win 27 times in 62 chances when named as an underdog of at least +101 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 49.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

The Rangers have a 3-4 record across the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Rangers and their opponents combined to go over the total nine times.
The Rangers are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rangers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	6
HR	18
ERA	5.80
K/9	8.3

Rangers Player Insights

Marcus Semien has 36 doubles, four triples, 24 home runs and 66 walks while hitting .278.
Among all batters in MLB, Semien ranks 41st in home runs and 25th in RBI.
Semien has collected a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .304 with two doubles, two home runs, three walks and three RBI.
Corey Seager is batting .341 to pace his team.
Seager ranks 14th in homers and 16th in RBI in the majors.
Seager heads into this matchup looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .500 with five doubles, two home runs, three walks and six RBI.
Nate Lowe is batting .277 with 37 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 87 walks.
Lowe has at least one base hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .294 with a home run, five walks and seven RBI.
Jonah Heim is batting .266 with 27 doubles, 17 home runs and 32 walks.
Heim is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .273 with a double, two home runs and eight RBI.

Learn more about this Rangers vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

The Guardians have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
The Guardians are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.4
HR	7
ERA	5.46
K/9	7.7

Guardians Player Insights

Jose Ramirez has a team-best batting average of .276, and paces the Guardians in long balls with 23.
Ramirez's home run total places him 49th in the majors, and he is 48th in RBI.
Steven Kwan has 32 doubles, six triples, five home runs and 61 walks while batting .272.
Kwan is 303rd in home runs and 150th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Naylor paces the Guardians with 88 runs batted in.
Andres Gimenez is hitting .240 with 25 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 32 walks.