Rangers vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 17

Updated Sep. 17, 2023 1:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Cleveland Guardians and Josh Naylor take the field in the final game of a three-game series against Corey Seager and the Texas Rangers on Sunday at Progressive Field. The Guardians have been listed as +102 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favorite Rangers (-122). Texas is a 1.5-run favorite (at +145 odds). The matchup's over/under has been set at 8 runs.

The Rangers will start Cody Bradford (4-1) against the Guardians and Gavin Williams (2-5).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rangers-Guardians game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Rangers vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 1:40 PM ET
Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Rangers	-122	+102	8	-108	-112	-1.5	+145	-172

Rangers vs. Guardians Prediction

Score Prediction: Rangers 5, Guardians 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Rangers 51%, Guardians 49%

Rangers vs. Guardians Betting Insights

This season, the Rangers have been favored 102 times and won 59, or 57.8%, of those games.
Texas has a record of 50-37, a 57.5% win rate, when favored by -122 or more by bookmakers this season.
The Rangers have a 55% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Guardians have been underdogs in 77 games this season and have come away with the win 34 times (44.2%) in those contests.
This season, Cleveland has come away with a win 26 times in 60 chances when named as an underdog of at least +102 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 49.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

The Rangers have a 3-3 record from the six games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 matchups, the Rangers and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total eight times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Rangers' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Rangers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.7
HR	15
ERA	4.70
K/9	8.9

Rangers Player Insights

Marcus Semien has 37 doubles, four triples, 24 home runs and 67 walks while batting .276.
Semien is 44th in home runs and 28th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
Seager's .338 batting average paces his team.
Seager is 16th in homers and 17th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
Nate Lowe has 38 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 87 walks while batting .277.
Jonah Heim has 27 doubles, 17 home runs and 32 walks while batting .263.

Learn more about this Rangers vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

The Guardians have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
The Guardians have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.9
HR	8
ERA	2.99
K/9	8.8

Guardians Player Insights

Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 23 homers while posting a team-best batting average of .277.
Among all hitters in the big leagues, Ramirez is 53rd in home runs and 50th in RBI.
Ramirez brings a hitting streak of four games into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .318 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
Steven Kwan is batting .273 with 32 doubles, six triples, five home runs and 63 walks.
Kwan ranks 304th among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 152nd in RBI.
Naylor has racked up a team-high 91 runs batted in.
Andres Gimenez is batting .240 with 25 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks.