Rangers vs. Orioles ALDS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 10

Updated Oct. 10, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

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Game 3 of the ALDS takes place on Tuesday when the Texas Rangers play host to the Baltimore Orioles. The Rangers will try to complete a three-game sweep when the first pitch is thrown at Globe Life Field, starting at 8:03 PM ET on FOX. Oddsmakers list the Rangers as -138 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Orioles +117 moneyline odds to win. Texas is favored on the run line (-1.5). A 9-run total has been set in this matchup.

The probable pitchers are Nathan Eovaldi (12-5, 3.63 ERA) for the Rangers against Dean Kremer (13-5, 4.12 ERA) for the Orioles.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rangers-Orioles game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Rangers vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, October 10, 2023 at 8:03 PM ET
• Where: Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas
• How to Watch on TV: FOX

Rangers vs. Orioles Prediction

• Score Prediction: Rangers 5, Orioles 4
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Rangers 52%, Orioles 48%

Rangers vs. Orioles Betting Insights

• The Rangers have entered the game as favorites 112 times this season and won 66, or 58.9%, of those games.
• Texas has a record of 44-27, a 62% win rate, when favored by -138 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Rangers, based on the moneyline, is 58%.
• The Orioles have been chosen as underdogs in 77 games this year and have walked away with the win 44 times (57.1%) in those games.
• This season, Baltimore has been victorious 21 times in 35 chances when named as an underdog of at least +117 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 46.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

• In the last 10 games, the Rangers have been named the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers only twice, and they split those games.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Rangers and their opponents combined to hit the over two times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Rangers have an 8-2-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rangers Recent Stats

Rangers Player Insights

• Marcus Semien has 40 doubles, four triples, 29 home runs and 72 walks while hitting .276.
• Including all MLB hitters, Semien ranks 28th in batting average, 39th in on-base percentage, and 33rd in slugging.
• Corey Seager has a club-best .327 batting average.
• Seager is 16th in homers in MLB, and 27th in RBI.
• Adolis Garcia has racked up a team-high 39 home runs and 107 runs batted in.
• Garcia will look to build on his six-game hitting in this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .250 with two doubles, three home runs, three walks and five RBI.
• Nate Lowe is batting .262 with 38 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 93 walks.

Rangers Team Props

Learn more about this Rangers vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

• The Orioles have been underdogs twice in the last 10 games and split those matchups 1-1.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Orioles and their opponents are 1-9-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Orioles have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Orioles Player Insights

• Adley Rutschman paces the Orioles with a team-high batting average of .277.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Rutschman's home run total ranks 92nd and his RBI tally is 53rd.
• Gunnar Henderson has hit a team-best 28 home runs.
• Henderson ranks 34th in home runs and 49th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Anthony Santander leads the Orioles in home runs (28) and runs batted in (95).
• Austin Hays is batting .275 with 36 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 38 walks.

Orioles Team Props

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