Rangers vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 4

Updated Jul. 4, 2024 2:00 p.m. ET

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Corey Seager and the Texas Rangers will look to do damage against Michael King when he starts for the San Diego Padres on Thursday at 2:35 PM ET, in the final game of a three-game series at Globe Life Field. The Rangers have been listed as -159 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Padres (+135). Texas (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under for the game has been set at 9 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Rangers-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Rangers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the San Diego Padres and the Texas Rangers on Wednesday, July 3.

Rangers vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 2:35 PM ET
• Where: Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas
• How to Watch on TV: SDPA

Rangers vs. Padres Prediction

• Score Prediction: Rangers 4, Padres 3
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Rangers 53%, Padres 47%

Rangers vs. Padres Betting Insights

• The Rangers have won 24, or 54.5%, of the 44 games they've played as favorites this season.
• This season Texas has won seven of its 14 games, or 50%, when favored by at least -159 on the moneyline.
• The Rangers have a 61.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Padres have won in 18, or 50%, of the 36 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• San Diego has a win-loss record of 5-7 when favored by +135 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 42.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL

SD 3 · TEX 1

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

San Diego Padres

SD

+1.5

-104

o7.5

Texas Rangers

TEX

-1.5

-116

u7.5

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

• The Rangers have a 1-2 record from the three games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Rangers combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total six times.
• The Rangers' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Rangers Recent Stats

Rangers Player Insights

• Marcus Semien has been the Rangers top run producer this season, leading the team with 45 RBI while hitting .231 with 11 home runs.
• Among all batters in MLB, Semien is 61st in homers and 39th in RBI.
• Corey Seager is batting .260 with eight doubles, 15 home runs and 34 walks.
• Seager ranks 24th in homers in the majors, and 79th in RBI.
• Seager has eight straight games with at least one hit. During his last 10 games he is hitting .263 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
• Josh Smith leads the Rangers with a .290 batting average.
• Smith will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .200 with a double, two walks and two RBI.
• Adolis Garcia has shown off his power as he paces his team with 16 home runs.
• Garcia brings a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with four doubles, a home run, two walks and an RBI.

Rangers Team Props

Learn more about this Rangers vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and have gone 5-1 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents are 8-2-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Padres have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Jurickson Profar leads the Padres with 55 runs batted in while racking up a team-high batting average of .314.
• In all of the majors, Profar is 61st in homers and 17th in RBI.
• Jake Cronenworth has 18 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 27 walks while hitting .260.
• Cronenworth is 51st in home runs and 20th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Ha-Seong Kim is batting .227 with 10 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 47 walks.
• Luis Arraez is batting .310 with 16 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 15 walks.

Padres Team Props

Padres vs. Rangers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the San Diego Padres and the Texas Rangers on Wednesday, July 3.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers - 07/04/2024