Rays vs. Angels Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 21

Updated Sep. 21, 2023 1:06 p.m. ET

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The Tampa Bay Rays and Yandy Diaz will take on the Los Angeles Angels and Randal Grichuk on Thursday at 1:10 PM ET in the final game of a three-game series at Tropicana Field. The Angels are listed as +228 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favored Rays (-279). Tampa Bay is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). A 7.5-run over/under is set in the game.

The Rays will start Zach Eflin (15-8) versus the Angels and Griffin Canning (7-7).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Rays-Angels game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Rays vs. Angels Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 1:10 PM ET
• Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
• How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Rays vs. Angels Prediction

• Score Prediction: Rays 5, Angels 3
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Rays 60%, Angels 40%

Rays vs. Angels Betting Insights

• The Rays have been favorites in 123 games this season and won 81 (65.9%) of those contests.
• Tampa Bay is 5-1 this season when entering a game favored by -279 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Rays, based on the moneyline, is 73.6%.
• The Angels have come away with 34 wins in the 81 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Los Angeles has played as an underdog of +228 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Angels have a 30.5% chance of pulling out a win.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays were the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and went 5-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Rays and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Rays' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Diaz's .322 average leads the Rays this year. His resume also includes 20 homers and driven in 75 RBI.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Diaz is 81st in homers and 60th in RBI.
• Diaz takes a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with three doubles, three walks and two RBI.
• Randy Arozarena has 17 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 77 walks while hitting .258.
• Arozarena ranks 58th in homers in MLB, and 39th in RBI.
• Isaac Paredes leads the Rays in home runs (29) and runs batted in (90).
• Paredes is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .167 with a double, four walks and an RBI.
• Josh Lowe is hitting .281 with 28 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 27 walks.
• Lowe is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .158 with two doubles and two walks.

Learn more about this Rays vs. Angels matchup on Fox Sports.

Angels Recent Betting Performance

• In 10 games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Angels had a record of 4-6.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Angels and their opponents are 4-5-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Angels have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Angels Recent Stats

Angels Player Insights

• Brandon Drury is hitting .260 with 26 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 25 walks.
• Drury's home run total puts him 58th in the majors, and he is 60th in RBI.
• Grichuk has 26 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 27 walks while batting .270.
• Among all MLB hitters, Grichuk is 139th in home runs and 196th in RBI.
• C.J. Cron is hitting .252 with 12 doubles, 12 home runs and 17 walks.
• Zach Neto has 15 doubles, nine home runs and 16 walks while batting .227.

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