Rays vs. Astros Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 28

Updated Jul. 28, 2023 8:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Wander Franco and Kyle Tucker will be among the stars on display when the Tampa Bay Rays face the Houston Astros on Friday at 8:10 PM ET, at Minute Maid Park. The Rays are listed as -113 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Astros (-107). Tampa Bay is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +149 odds). An 8.5-run over/under has been set for this contest.

The scheduled starters are Shane McClanahan (11-1) for the Tampa Bay Rays, and Cristian Javier (7-2) for the Houston Astros.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Rays-Astros game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Rays vs. Astros Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, July 28, 2023 at 8:10 PM ET
Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Rays	-113	-107	8.5	-117	-103	-1.5	+149	-176

Rays vs. Astros Prediction

Score Prediction: Astros 6, Rays 5
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Rays 50%, Astros 50%

Rays vs. Astros Betting Insights

The Rays have entered the game as favorites 87 times this season and won 56, or 64.4%, of those games.
Tampa Bay has entered 87 games this season favored by -113 or more and is 56-31 in those contests.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 53.1% chance to win.
The Astros have been chosen as underdogs in 31 games this year and have walked away with the win 18 times (58.1%) in those games.
Houston has a win-loss record of 17-13 when favored by -107 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
The Astros have an implied victory probability of 51.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

The Rays were favored on the moneyline for eight of their last 10 games, and they went 2-6 in those matchups.
In their last 10 matchups, the Rays and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Rays' ATS record is 2-8-0 over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	2-8
Runs Per Game	2.9
HR	10
ERA	4.23
K/9	10.5

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Rays Player Insights

Franco is hitting .262 with 23 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 35 walks.
In all of MLB, Franco is 118th in home runs and 72nd in RBI.
Yandy Diaz is batting .318 to lead his team.
Diaz is 72nd in homers in the majors, and 70th in RBI.
Diaz enters this matchup looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .278 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and six RBI.
Randy Arozarena has put up a team-best 62 runs batted in.
Isaac Paredes is hitting .256 with 15 doubles, 18 home runs and 35 walks.

Rays Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Josh Lowe	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+190)
Yandy Díaz	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+175)
Randy Arozarena	0.5 (-189)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+320)	0.5 (+135)
Wander Franco	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+230)
Luke Raley	0.5 (-185)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+160)

Learn more about this Rays vs. Astros matchup on Fox Sports.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

Over the past 10 games, the Astros have been underdogs just once and won that contest.
The Astros and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Astros have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	4.8
HR	19
ERA	4.60
K/9	7.8

Astros Player Insights

Tucker leads the Astros in home runs (18), runs batted in (69) and has posted a team-best batting average of .304.
Among all batters in the majors, Tucker ranks 29th in home runs and 11th in RBI.
Alex Bregman is batting .256 with 14 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 54 walks.
Bregman is 34th among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and 16th in RBI.
Yordan Alvarez is hitting .275 with 12 doubles, 17 home runs and 33 walks.
Mauricio Dubon has 18 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 10 walks while hitting .264.

Astros Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Yordan Alvarez	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+350)	0.5 (+130)
Kyle Tucker	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+185)
Jose Altuve	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+225)
Jeremy Pena	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+240)
Alex Bregman	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+185)

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