Rays vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 21

Updated Sep. 20, 2024 9:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will lead the Toronto Blue Jays into a matchup with Jonathan Aranda and the Tampa Bay Rays on Saturday at 4:10 p.m. ET, in the first game of a three-game series at Tropicana Field. The Rays are the favorite in this one, at -137, while the underdog Blue Jays have +116 odds to upset. Tampa Bay is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total for the contest has been listed at 8 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Rays-Blue Jays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Red Sox vs. Rays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays and moments in this matchup between the Boston Red Sox and the Tampa Bay Rays.

Rays vs. Blue Jays Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 4:10 p.m. ET
Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
How to Watch on TV: BSSUN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Rays	-137	+116	8	-102	-118	-1.5	+158	-190

Rays vs. Blue Jays Prediction

Score Prediction: Rays 5, Blue Jays 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Rays 53%, Blue Jays 47%

Rays vs. Blue Jays Betting Insights

The Rays have won 34, or 51.5%, of the 66 games they've played as favorites this season.
Tampa Bay has a record of 14-13, a 51.9% win rate, when favored by -137 or more by oddsmakers this season.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.8% chance of a victory for the Rays.
The Blue Jays have won in 27, or 35.1%, of the 77 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This year, Toronto has won 15 of 33 games when listed as at least +116 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Blue Jays have a 46.3% chance of walking away with the win.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

The Rays were named the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers just once over the last 10 games, and lost that matchup.
In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Rays and their opponents combined to go over the total two times.
The Rays' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	2.7
HR	9
ERA	3.06
K/9	8.9

Rays Player Insights

Yandy Diaz comes into Saturday's game as the Rays top run producer, accumulating 65 RBI while crushing 14 homers in 2024. His .283 average is also best on the squad.
Among all MLB hitters, Diaz is 20th in batting average, 38th in on-base percentage, and 74th in slugging.
Brandon Lowe is batting .244 with 19 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 33 walks.
Lowe enters this game looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with a home run and three RBI.
Christopher Morel has launched a team-high 21 home runs.
Jose Caballero is batting .227 with 24 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 27 walks.

Learn more about this Rays vs. Blue Jays matchup on Fox Sports.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

The Blue Jays have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Blue Jays and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
The Blue Jays have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.9
HR	6
ERA	2.77
K/9	7.2

Blue Jays Player Insights

Guerrero paces the Blue Jays in home runs (30), runs batted in (99) and has recorded a team-best batting average of .322.
Guerrero ranks 18th in homers and 12th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
George Springer is hitting .223 with 18 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 58 walks.
Springer is currently 80th in home runs and 119th in RBI in the major leagues.
Ernie Clement is batting .261 with 20 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and nine walks.
Spencer Horwitz is hitting .275 with 19 doubles, 12 home runs and 38 walks.