Rays vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 22

Updated Sep. 22, 2023 6:11 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Tampa Bay Rays versus Toronto Blue Jays game on Friday at 6:40 PM ET will showcase a pair of hot hitters in Yandy Diaz and Vladimir Guerrero Jr.. The favored Rays have -155 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Blue Jays, who are listed at +131. Tampa Bay is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The game's total has been set at 7.5 runs.

The Tampa Bay Rays will give the start to Tyler Glasnow (9-6, 3.61 ERA), who is looking for win No. 10 on the season, and the Blue Jays will turn to Chris Bassitt (14-8, 3.78 ERA).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rays-Blue Jays game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Rays vs. Blue Jays Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, September 22, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
How to Watch on TV: BSSUN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Rays	-155	+131	7.5	-111	-109	-1.5	+140	-167

Rays vs. Blue Jays Prediction

Score Prediction: Rays 4, Blue Jays 3
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Rays 56%, Blue Jays 44%

Rays vs. Blue Jays Betting Insights

This season, the Rays have won 82 out of the 124 games, or 66.1%, in which they've been favored.
Tampa Bay has entered 72 games this season favored by -155 or more and is 54-18 in those contests.
The implied probability of a win from the Rays, based on the moneyline, is 60.8%.
The Blue Jays have come away with 21 wins in the 38 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This season, Toronto has been victorious one time in four chances when named as an underdog of at least +131 or longer on the moneyline.
The Blue Jays have an implied victory probability of 43.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

The Rays were the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and finished 5-2 in those matchups.
In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Rays and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
The Rays are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.3
HR	11
ERA	3.93
K/9	12.2

Rays Player Insights

Diaz leads the Rays with a .324 batting average.
Diaz's home runs rank him 81st in the majors, and he ranks 60th in RBI.
Diaz carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .389 with three doubles, five walks and two RBI.
Randy Arozarena is batting .256 with 17 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 77 walks.
Arozarena ranks 58th in home runs and 39th in RBI in the majors.
Isaac Paredes leads the Rays in home runs (29) and runs batted in (92).
Paredes will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with two doubles, four walks and three RBI.
Josh Lowe is hitting .281 with 28 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 29 walks.
Lowe is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with two doubles and three walks.

Learn more about this Rays vs. Blue Jays matchup on Fox Sports.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

In three games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Blue Jays have a record of 1-2.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Blue Jays and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
The Blue Jays are 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.5
HR	9
ERA	4.45
K/9	9.2

Blue Jays Player Insights

Guerrero has managed a team-high 24 home runs and has driven in 91 runs.
Among all batters in MLB, Guerrero ranks 48th in homers and 29th in RBI.
George Springer is hitting .257 with 22 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 58 walks.
Springer is 81st among all batters in the majors in home runs, and 97th in RBI.
Bo Bichette has a team-high batting average of .301.
Whit Merrifield is hitting .278 with 26 doubles, 11 home runs and 34 walks.