Rays vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 11

Updated Aug. 11, 2023 6:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Xzavion Curry will take the mound for the Cleveland Guardians aiming to slow down Wander Franco and the Tampa Bay Rays on Friday at 6:40 PM ET. The Guardians are +172 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the Rays (-206). Tampa Bay is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total for the contest is listed at 8.5 runs.

The Rays will give the ball to Aaron Civale (5-3) against the Guardians and Curry (3-1).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rays-Guardians game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Rays vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, August 11, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
How to Watch on TV: BSSUN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Rays	-206	+172	8.5	-106	-113	-1.5	+105	-125

Rays vs. Guardians Prediction

Score Prediction: Rays 5, Guardians 3
Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Rays 58%, Guardians 42%

Rays vs. Guardians Betting Insights

The Rays have entered the game as favorites 96 times this season and won 62, or 64.6%, of those games.
Tampa Bay has a record of 16-5 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -206 on the moneyline.
The Rays have a 67.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Guardians have been chosen as underdogs in 53 games this year and have walked away with the win 22 times (41.5%) in those games.
This will be the worst odds to win that sportsbooks have assigned Cleveland this season with a +172 moneyline set for this game.
The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 36.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

The Rays were the moneyline favorite in eight of their last 10 games, and they finished 5-3 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 outings, the Rays and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Rays have gone 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5
HR	16
ERA	3.48
K/9	8

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Rays Player Insights

Franco is hitting .279 with 23 doubles, six triples, 16 home runs and 41 walks.
In all of the majors, Franco is 72nd in homers and 62nd in RBI.
Franco carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .600 with a triple, two home runs, two walks and four RBI.
Yandy Diaz has a club-high .317 batting average.
Diaz is 72nd in home runs and 62nd in RBI in the major leagues.
Isaac Paredes paces the Rays with 67 runs batted in.
Randy Arozarena has 10 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 56 walks while hitting .256.
Arozarena brings a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .278 with three walks and two RBI.

Rays Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Harold Ramirez	1.5 (+205)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+155)
Wander Franco	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+200)
Jose Siri	0.5 (-179)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+350)	0.5 (+160)
Brandon Lowe	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+140)
Christian Bethancourt	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+155)

Learn more about this Rays vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

The Guardians have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times.
The Guardians have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	2.2
HR	2
ERA	3.10
K/9	8.9

Guardians Player Insights

Jose Ramirez has launched a team-best 18 home runs.
Among all hitters in the big leagues, Ramirez's home run total ranks 43rd and his RBI tally ranks 36th.
Steven Kwan is hitting .268 with 27 doubles, three triples, five home runs and 49 walks.
Kwan ranks 267th among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 156th in RBI.
Andres Gimenez is hitting .232 with 20 doubles, four triples, 10 home runs and 27 walks.
Will Brennan has 18 doubles, five home runs and 11 walks while batting .254.

Guardians Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Oscar Gonzalez	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+160)
José Ramírez	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+145)
Andrés Giménez	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+195)
Steven Kwan	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+250)
Gabriel Arias	0.5 (-130)	0.5 (-130)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+280)

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