Rays vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 26

Updated Jul. 26, 2023 12:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Yandy Diaz and the Tampa Bay Rays will try to beat Sandy Alcantara, the Miami Marlins' starter, on Wednesday at 12:10 PM ET. The Rays are listed as -173 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Marlins (+147). Tampa Bay is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +125 odds). The contest's total has been set at 7.5 runs.

The scheduled starters are Zach Eflin (11-5) for the Tampa Bay Rays, and Alcantara (3-9) for the Miami Marlins.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Rays-Marlins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Rays vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, July 26, 2023 at 12:10 PM ET
Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
How to Watch on TV: BSSUN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Rays	-173	+147	7.5	-109	-110	-1.5	+125	-148

Rays vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Rays 4, Marlins 3
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Rays 58%, Marlins 42%

Rays vs. Marlins Betting Insights

This season, the Rays have been favored 86 times and won 56, or 65.1%, of those games.
Tampa Bay has entered 42 games this season favored by -173 or more and is 31-11 in those contests.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 63.4% chance to win.
The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 51 games this year and have walked away with the win 22 times (43.1%) in those games.
This year, Miami has won six of 16 games when listed as at least +147 or worse on the moneyline.
The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 40.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

The Rays went 3-5 across the eight games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Rays and their opponents combined to go over the total two times.
The Rays' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.2
HR	10
ERA	3.72
K/9	10.1

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Rays Player Insights

Wander Franco is batting .264 with 23 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 35 walks.
Of all hitters in MLB, Franco's home run total places him 116th, and his RBI tally puts him 71st.
Yandy Diaz has a club-best .318 batting average.
Diaz is 68th in home runs and 68th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
Diaz carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and six RBI.
Randy Arozarena leads the Rays with 62 runs batted in.
Isaac Paredes is batting .260 with 15 doubles, 18 home runs and 35 walks.

Rays Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Randy Arozarena	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+190)
Wander Franco	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+235)
Brandon Lowe	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+225)
Harold Ramirez	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+155)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+230)
Josh Lowe	0.5 (-185)	0.5 (-200)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+200)

Learn more about this Rays vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

The Marlins have played as underdogs five times over their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
The Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times in their last 10 games with a total.
Over their last 10 games, the Marlins are 2-8-0 against the spread.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	1-9
Runs Per Game	2.9
HR	4
ERA	4.65
K/9	10.1

Marlins Player Insights

Luis Arraez leads the team in batting average with a mark of .375.
Among all batters in the majors, Arraez ranks 307th in home runs and 68th in RBI.
Jorge Soler has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 24 home runs and 54 RBI.
Soler is ninth overall in home runs and 50th in RBI this season.
Bryan De La Cruz leads the Marlins with 54 runs batted in.
Jesus Sanchez is hitting .259 with 16 doubles, 10 home runs and 19 walks.

Marlins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Bryan De La Cruz	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+205)
Luis Arraez	1.5 (+145)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+1100)	0.5 (+245)
Garrett Cooper	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+215)
Jon Berti	0.5 (-185)	0.5 (-185)	-	0.5 (+275)
Yuli Gurriel	0.5 (-196)	0.5 (-196)	0.5 (+950)	0.5 (+240)

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