Rays vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 4

Rays vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 4

Updated May. 4, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Christian Scott will start for the New York Mets aiming to shut down Richard Palacios and the Tampa Bay Rays on Saturday at 7:15 PM ET. The Rays are the favorite in this one, at -110, while the underdog Mets have -110 odds to upset. New York (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. A 7.5-run total has been listed in this contest.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rays-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mets vs. Rays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best plays and moments from the Tampa Bay Rays' 10-8 win over the New York Mets.
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Rays vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, May 4, 2024 at 7:15 PM ET
  • Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
  • How to Watch on TV: FOX
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
PUSH -110 -110 7.5 -106 -114 -1.5 -189 +155

Rays vs. Mets Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Rays 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Rays 53%, Mets 47%

Rays vs. Mets Betting Insights

  • The Rays have won 11, or 44%, of the 25 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Tampa Bay has entered 25 games this season favored by -110 or more and is 11-14 in those contests.
  • The Rays have a 52.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Mets have won in five, or 38.5%, of the 13 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • New York has a mark of 5-8 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -110 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 52.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
FINAL
NYM 1 · TB 3
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
New York Mets
NYM
Tampa Bay Rays
TB

Rays Recent Betting Performance

  • The Rays played as the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and finished 1-6 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Rays and their opponents combined to go over the total six times.
  • The Rays are 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 9
ERA 5.75
K/9 8.7

Rays Player Insights

  • Isaac Paredes has gone yard seven times in the 2024 campaign while driving in 17 runs, both totals that lead the Rays.
  • Paredes' home runs put him 13th in MLB, and he is 55th in RBI.
  • Amed Rosario is hitting .309 to lead his team.
  • Rosario ranks 161st in home runs and 77th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
  • Jose Caballero has six doubles, a triple, two home runs and two walks while hitting .276.
  • Caballero has at least one base hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .316 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
  • Yandy Diaz is batting .219 with five doubles, a home run and 10 walks.

Rays Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Yandy Díaz 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+200)
Harold Ramirez 0.5 (-256) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+185)
Amed Rosario 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+190)
Ben Rortvedt 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+215)
Richard Palacios 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+240)

Learn more about this Rays vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mets have played as underdogs four times over their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
  • The Mets have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 11
ERA 3.82
K/9 8.6

Mets Player Insights

  • Pete Alonso has launched a team-best eight home runs.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Alonso's home run total ranks fifth and his RBI tally is 64th.
  • Francisco Lindor is batting .208 with seven doubles, five home runs and 12 walks.
  • Among all major league hitters, Lindor ranks 42nd in home runs and 55th in RBI.
  • Brandon Nimmo has sent home a team-high 20 runs batted in.
  • Starling Marte is hitting .265 with four doubles, four home runs and six walks.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+200)
Starling Marte 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+225)
Jeff McNeil 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+220)
Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+330) 0.5 (+145)
Pete Alonso 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+360) 0.5 (+160)

Mets vs. Rays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best plays and moments from the Tampa Bay Rays' 10-8 win over the New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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