Rays vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 28

Updated Jun. 28, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

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Yandy Diaz and the Tampa Bay Rays will see Mitchell Parker on the hill for the Washington Nationals in the first game of a three-game series, Friday at 6:50 PM ET. Bookmakers list the Rays as -167 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Nationals +139 moneyline odds to win. Tampa Bay is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The matchup's total is listed at 7.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Rays-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Rays vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, June 28, 2024 at 6:50 PM ET
• Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
• How to Watch on TV: MASN2

Rays vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Rays 5, Nationals 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Rays 52%, Nationals 48%

Rays vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• The Rays have won 22, or 51.2%, of the 43 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Tampa Bay has a record of 2-5 when favored by -167 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 62.5% chance of a victory for the Rays.
• The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 65 games this year and have walked away with the win 30 times (46.2%) in those games.
• Washington has a win-loss record of 15-21 when favored by +139 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 41.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

FINAL

WSH 1 · TB 3

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Washington Nationals

WSH

+1.5

+156

o7.5

Tampa Bay Rays

TB

-1.5

-187

u7.5

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays were named the moneyline favorite by bookmakers just twice over the last 10 games, and won both matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Rays and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Rays have an 8-2-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Isaac Paredes has put up a team-best 12 home runs and 41 runs batted in.
• Including all MLB batters, Paredes ranks 43rd in batting average, 22nd in on-base percentage, and 45th in slugging.
• Diaz's .275 batting average is a team-high mark.
• Diaz is 132nd in homers and 50th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Diaz carries a 19-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last 10 outings he is batting .370 with three doubles, three home runs and 10 RBI.
• Randy Arozarena is batting .189 with 12 doubles, 10 home runs and 37 walks.
• Jose Caballero is batting .243 with 11 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 15 walks.

Rays Team Props

Learn more about this Rays vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• The Nationals have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and have gone 1-2 in those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Nationals and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Nationals have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• C.J. Abrams has posted a team-best batting average of .280, and leads the Nationals in long balls with 12.
• Abrams' home run total places him 41st in the big leagues, and he ranks 50th in RBI.
• Jesse Winker is batting .265 with 11 doubles, nine home runs and 41 walks.
• Among all major league batters, Winker is 85th in home runs and 73rd in RBI.
• Lane Thomas has eight doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 18 walks while batting .243.
• Luis Garcia has 13 doubles, seven home runs and 11 walks while batting .257.

Nationals Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays - 06/28/2024