Rays vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 11

Rays vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 11

Updated Aug. 11, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

The Baltimore Orioles and Jackson Holliday hit the field at Tropicana Field against Christopher Morel and the Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday. The Orioles are -106 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the Rays (-114). Baltimore is a 1.5-run favorite (at +157 odds). The contest's over/under is set at 8 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rays-Orioles game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Alex Jackson & Jonny DeLuca both collect RBIs to bring the Rays within a run of the Orioles

Alex Jackson & Jonny DeLuca both collected RBIs to bring the Tampa Bay Rays within a run of the Baltimore Orioles.
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Rays vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

  • When: Sunday, August 11, 2024 at 1:40 PM ET
  • Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
  • How to Watch on TV: MASN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Rays -114 -106 8 -107 -114 -1.5 -189 +157

Rays vs. Orioles Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Rays 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Rays 51%, Orioles 49%

Rays vs. Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Rays have entered the game as favorites 57 times this season and won 29, or 50.9%, of those games.
  • Tampa Bay has a record of 26-21, a 55.3% win rate, when favored by -114 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.3% chance of a victory for the Rays.
  • The Orioles have been victorious in 14, or 58.3%, of the 24 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Baltimore has a win-loss record of 10-9 when favored by -106 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 51.5% chance of walking away with the win.
FINAL
BAL 1 · TB 2
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Baltimore Orioles
BAL
Tampa Bay Rays
TB

Rays Recent Betting Performance

  • Over the last 10 games, the Rays were listed as the moneyline favorite by bookmakers only two times, and they split those games.
  • In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Rays and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
  • The Rays are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 10
ERA 3.72
K/9 8.4

Rays Player Insights

  • Yandy Diaz is the Rays best hitter so far this season, hitting at a team-leading .271 clip along with 10 homers and 51 RBI.
  • In all of the majors, Diaz ranks 143rd in homers and 80th in RBI.
  • Morel has shown his power as he leads his team with 20 home runs and 53 RBI.
  • Morel is 28th in home runs in baseball, and 69th in RBI.
  • Morel enters this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .150 with two walks.
  • Brandon Lowe is hitting .256 with 13 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 26 walks.
  • Jose Caballero has 16 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 20 walks while batting .238.
  • Caballero is riding a five-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .400 with a double, a home run and three RBI.

Rays Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Brandon Lowe 0.5 (-190) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+380) 0.5 (+165)
Yandy Díaz 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+160)
Jonny Deluca 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+215)
Christopher Morel 0.5 (-185) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+360) 0.5 (+140)
Jose Siri 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+210)

Learn more about this Rays vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

  • Over the past 10 games, the Orioles have been underdogs just once and lost that contest.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Orioles and their opponents have combined to hit the over eight times.
  • The Orioles have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.9
HR 14
ERA 5.13
K/9 8.3

Orioles Player Insights

  • Gunnar Henderson leads the team in batting average with a mark of .286.
  • Henderson ranks seventh in homers and 24th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Anthony Santander has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 34 home runs and 78 runs batted in.
  • Santander ranks fourth in home runs and 12th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Adley Rutschman has 16 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 44 walks while hitting .267.
  • Ryan O'Hearn has 15 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 38 walks while batting .273.

Orioles Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Eloy Jiménez 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+185)
Anthony Santander 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+185)
Adley Rutschman 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+190)
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 () 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+175)
Jackson Holliday 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+250)

Jackson Holliday CLOBBERS a solo home run to extend Orioles' lead over Rays

Jackson Holliday clobbered a solo home run to extend the Baltimore Orioles' lead over the Tampa Bay Rays.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Tampa Bay Rays
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