Rays vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 11

Updated Aug. 11, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

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The Baltimore Orioles and Jackson Holliday hit the field at Tropicana Field against Christopher Morel and the Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday. The Orioles are -106 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the Rays (-114). Baltimore is a 1.5-run favorite (at +157 odds). The contest's over/under is set at 8 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rays-Orioles game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Alex Jackson & Jonny DeLuca both collect RBIs to bring the Rays within a run of the Orioles

Alex Jackson & Jonny DeLuca both collected RBIs to bring the Tampa Bay Rays within a run of the Baltimore Orioles.

Rays vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, August 11, 2024 at 1:40 PM ET
• Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
• How to Watch on TV: MASN

Rays vs. Orioles Prediction

• Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Rays 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Rays 51%, Orioles 49%

Rays vs. Orioles Betting Insights

• The Rays have entered the game as favorites 57 times this season and won 29, or 50.9%, of those games.
• Tampa Bay has a record of 26-21, a 55.3% win rate, when favored by -114 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.3% chance of a victory for the Rays.
• The Orioles have been victorious in 14, or 58.3%, of the 24 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Baltimore has a win-loss record of 10-9 when favored by -106 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 51.5% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

BAL 1 · TB 2

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Baltimore Orioles

BAL

-1.5

-102

O 8

Tampa Bay Rays

TB

+1.5

-118

U 8

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• Over the last 10 games, the Rays were listed as the moneyline favorite by bookmakers only two times, and they split those games.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Rays and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
• The Rays are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Yandy Diaz is the Rays best hitter so far this season, hitting at a team-leading .271 clip along with 10 homers and 51 RBI.
• In all of the majors, Diaz ranks 143rd in homers and 80th in RBI.
• Morel has shown his power as he leads his team with 20 home runs and 53 RBI.
• Morel is 28th in home runs in baseball, and 69th in RBI.
• Morel enters this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .150 with two walks.
• Brandon Lowe is hitting .256 with 13 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 26 walks.
• Jose Caballero has 16 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 20 walks while batting .238.
• Caballero is riding a five-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .400 with a double, a home run and three RBI.

Rays Team Props

Learn more about this Rays vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Orioles have been underdogs just once and lost that contest.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Orioles and their opponents have combined to hit the over eight times.
• The Orioles have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Orioles Recent Stats

Orioles Player Insights

• Gunnar Henderson leads the team in batting average with a mark of .286.
• Henderson ranks seventh in homers and 24th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Anthony Santander has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 34 home runs and 78 runs batted in.
• Santander ranks fourth in home runs and 12th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Adley Rutschman has 16 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 44 walks while hitting .267.
• Ryan O'Hearn has 15 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 38 walks while batting .273.

Orioles Team Props

Jackson Holliday CLOBBERS a solo home run to extend Orioles' lead over Rays

Jackson Holliday clobbered a solo home run to extend the Baltimore Orioles' lead over the Tampa Bay Rays.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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