Rays vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 20

Updated Jul. 20, 2023 6:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Tampa Bay Rays will send a hot-hitting Isaac Paredes to the plate against the Baltimore Orioles and Gunnar Henderson, who has been on a tear in recent games, when the teams take the field on Thursday at 6:40 PM ET. Bookmakers list the Rays as -180 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Orioles +151 moneyline odds to win. Tampa Bay is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total for the contest has been set at 8 runs.

The scheduled starters are Tyler Glasnow (3-3) for the Tampa Bay Rays, and Kyle Gibson (9-6) for the Baltimore Orioles.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Rays-Orioles game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Rays vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, July 20, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Rays	-180	+151	8	-106	-114	-1.5	+113	-135

Rays vs. Orioles Prediction

Score Prediction: Rays 5, Orioles 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities:

Rays vs. Orioles Betting Insights

The Rays have been favorites in 81 games this season and won 54 (66.7%) of those contests.
Tampa Bay has a record of 27-8, a 77.1% win rate, when favored by -180 or more by sportsbooks this season.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 64.3% chance to win.
The Orioles have been victorious in 24, or 52.2%, of the 46 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This season, Baltimore has been victorious two times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +151 or longer on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 39.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

The Rays have a 3-3 record from the six games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Rays combined with their opponents to go over the total two times.
The Rays' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.3
HR	13
ERA	3.57
K/9	9.4

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Rays Player Insights

Wander Franco has 22 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 34 walks while hitting .271.
Including all MLB hitters, Franco ranks 48th in batting average, 61st in on-base percentage, and 62nd in slugging.
Yandy Diaz has a club-high .320 batting average.
Diaz ranks 73rd in home runs and 88th in RBI in the bigs.
Randy Arozarena has racked up a team-best 61 runs batted in.
Paredes is hitting .257 with 14 doubles, 17 home runs and 34 walks.

Rays Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Wander Franco	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+230)
Randy Arozarena	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+135)
Luke Raley	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+155)
Josh Lowe	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+180)
Yandy Díaz	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+200)

Learn more about this Rays vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Orioles have a record of 4-1.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Orioles and their opponents are 6-2-2 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Orioles have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	8-2
Runs Per Game	6.9
HR	15
ERA	3.56
K/9	7.6

Orioles Player Insights

Adley Rutschman has 16 doubles, 13 home runs and 56 walks while hitting .275.
Rutschman ranks 73rd in home runs and 94th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
Rutschman carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is batting .297 with four doubles, two home runs, four walks and five RBI.
Anthony Santander been a consistent power bat this season, as he paces his team with 17 home runs and 54 runs batted in.
Santander is 29th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 37th in RBI.
Adam Frazier is hitting .235 with 12 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 24 walks.
Henderson has 12 doubles, four triples, 15 home runs and 41 walks while hitting .247.

Orioles Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Anthony Santander	0.5 (-159)	0.5 (-159)	0.5 (+330)	0.5 (+170)
Jorge Mateo	0.5 (+100)	0.5 (-105)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+330)
Ramón Urías	0.5 (-141)	0.5 (-141)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+280)
Gunnar Henderson	0.5 (-149)	0.5 (-149)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+260)
Aaron Hicks	0.5 (+100)	0.5 (-110)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+330)

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