Rays vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 21

Rays vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 21

Updated Jul. 21, 2023 6:00 p.m. ET

Brandon Lowe and the Tampa Bay Rays will take on Adley Rutschman and the Baltimore Orioles at Tropicana Field on Friday at 6:40 PM ET, in the second game of a four-game series. The Rays are -149 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Orioles (+128). Tampa Bay is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +134 odds). The over/under is 8 runs for this game (with -110 odds on the over and -110 odds to go under).

The Tampa Bay Rays will hand the ball to Zach Eflin (10-5, 3.59 ERA), who is looking for win No. 11 on the season, and the Orioles will turn to Kyle Bradish (6-4, 3.05 ERA).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rays-Orioles game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Rays vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Friday, July 21, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
  • Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
  • How to Watch on TV: BSSUN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Rays -149 +128 8 -110 -110 -1.5 +134 -158

Rays vs. Orioles Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Rays 5, Orioles 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Rays 55%, Orioles 45%

Rays vs. Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Rays have entered the game as favorites 82 times this season and won 54, or 65.9%, of those games.
  • Tampa Bay is 39-13 this season when entering a game favored by -149 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Rays have a 59.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have been underdogs in 47 games this season and have come away with the win 25 times (53.2%) in those contests.
  • This season, Baltimore has been victorious eight times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +128 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 43.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

  • The Rays went 3-3 over the six games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Rays and their opponents combined to go over the run total two times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Rays' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.5
HR 12
ERA 3.61
K/9 9.5

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Rays Player Insights

  • Wander Franco is hitting .273 with 23 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 34 walks.
  • Including all MLB hitters, Franco ranks 43rd in batting average, 58th in on-base percentage, and 59th in slugging.
  • Yandy Diaz has a club-high .318 batting average.
  • Including all MLB hitters, Diaz is 75th in home runs and 76th in RBI.
  • Diaz has two straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .318 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and six RBI.
  • Randy Arozarena has racked up a team-best 61 runs batted in.
  • Isaac Paredes is hitting .257 with 14 doubles, 17 home runs and 34 walks.

Rays Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Yandy Díaz 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+220)
Randy Arozarena 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+145)
Wander Franco 0.5 (-256) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+225)
Harold Ramirez 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+210)
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 (-175) 0.5 (-175) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+210)

Learn more about this Rays vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

  • The Orioles have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Orioles and their opponents are 5-3-2 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Orioles have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 5.9
HR 13
ERA 3.82
K/9 8.2

Orioles Player Insights

  • Rutschman is batting .274 with 16 doubles, 13 home runs and 56 walks.
  • Among all batters in the majors, Rutschman's home run total is 75th and his RBI tally is 90th.
  • Rutschman carries a seven-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .278 with three doubles, two home runs, four walks and six RBI.
  • Anthony Santander has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 17 home runs and 54 runs batted in.
  • Santander is 29th in homers and 37th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • Adam Frazier has 12 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 24 walks while hitting .235.
  • Gunnar Henderson is batting .247 with 12 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 41 walks.

Orioles Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Anthony Santander 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+290) 0.5 (+155)
Adley Rutschman 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+215)
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+220)
Austin Hays 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+210)
Ryan O'Hearn 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+170)

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