Rays vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 21

Updated Jul. 21, 2023 6:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Brandon Lowe and the Tampa Bay Rays will take on Adley Rutschman and the Baltimore Orioles at Tropicana Field on Friday at 6:40 PM ET, in the second game of a four-game series. The Rays are -149 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Orioles (+128). Tampa Bay is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +134 odds). The over/under is 8 runs for this game (with -110 odds on the over and -110 odds to go under).

The Tampa Bay Rays will hand the ball to Zach Eflin (10-5, 3.59 ERA), who is looking for win No. 11 on the season, and the Orioles will turn to Kyle Bradish (6-4, 3.05 ERA).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rays-Orioles game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Rays vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, July 21, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
How to Watch on TV: BSSUN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Rays	-149	+128	8	-110	-110	-1.5	+134	-158

Rays vs. Orioles Prediction

Score Prediction: Rays 5, Orioles 4
Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Rays 55%, Orioles 45%

Rays vs. Orioles Betting Insights

The Rays have entered the game as favorites 82 times this season and won 54, or 65.9%, of those games.
Tampa Bay is 39-13 this season when entering a game favored by -149 or more on the moneyline.
The Rays have a 59.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Orioles have been underdogs in 47 games this season and have come away with the win 25 times (53.2%) in those contests.
This season, Baltimore has been victorious eight times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +128 or worse on the moneyline.
The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 43.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

The Rays went 3-3 over the six games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Rays and their opponents combined to go over the run total two times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Rays' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.5
HR	12
ERA	3.61
K/9	9.5

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Rays Player Insights

Wander Franco is hitting .273 with 23 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 34 walks.
Including all MLB hitters, Franco ranks 43rd in batting average, 58th in on-base percentage, and 59th in slugging.
Yandy Diaz has a club-high .318 batting average.
Including all MLB hitters, Diaz is 75th in home runs and 76th in RBI.
Diaz has two straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .318 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and six RBI.
Randy Arozarena has racked up a team-best 61 runs batted in.
Isaac Paredes is hitting .257 with 14 doubles, 17 home runs and 34 walks.

Rays Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Yandy Díaz	1.5 (+170)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+220)
Randy Arozarena	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+145)
Wander Franco	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+225)
Harold Ramirez	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+210)
Christian Bethancourt	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+210)

Learn more about this Rays vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

The Orioles have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Orioles and their opponents are 5-3-2 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Orioles have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	8-2
Runs Per Game	5.9
HR	13
ERA	3.82
K/9	8.2

Orioles Player Insights

Rutschman is batting .274 with 16 doubles, 13 home runs and 56 walks.
Among all batters in the majors, Rutschman's home run total is 75th and his RBI tally is 90th.
Rutschman carries a seven-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .278 with three doubles, two home runs, four walks and six RBI.
Anthony Santander has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 17 home runs and 54 runs batted in.
Santander is 29th in homers and 37th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
Adam Frazier has 12 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 24 walks while hitting .235.
Gunnar Henderson is batting .247 with 12 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 41 walks.

Orioles Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Anthony Santander	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+290)	0.5 (+155)
Adley Rutschman	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+215)
Ryan Mountcastle	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+220)
Austin Hays	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+210)
Ryan O'Hearn	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+170)

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